Exponent of Cross-Sectional Dependence: Estimation and Inference

被引:115
作者
Bailey, Natalia [1 ]
Kapetanios, George [1 ]
Pesaran, M. Hashem [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Queen Mary Univ London, London, England
[2] Univ Southern Calif, Los Angeles, CA USA
[3] Univ Cambridge, Trinity Coll, Cambridge CB2 1TN, England
关键词
APPROXIMATE FACTOR MODELS; DYNAMIC-FACTOR MODEL; NUMBER; PANELS; WEAK;
D O I
10.1002/jae.2476
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper provides a characterisation of the degree of cross-sectional dependence in a two dimensional array, {x(it),i = 1,2,...N;t = 1,2,...,T} in terms of the rate at which the variance of the cross-sectional average of the observed data varies with N. Under certain conditions this is equivalent to the rate at which the largest eigenvalue of the covariance matrix of x(t)=(x(1t),x(2t),...,x(Nt)) rises with N. We represent the degree of cross-sectional dependence by , which we refer to as the exponent of cross-sectional dependence', and define it by the standard deviation, is a simple cross-sectional average of x(it). We propose bias corrected estimators, derive their asymptotic properties for > 1/2 and consider a number of extensions. We include a detailed Monte Carlo simulation study supporting the theoretical results. We also provide a number of empirical applications investigating the degree of inter-linkages of real and financial variables in the global economy. Copyright (c) 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:929 / 960
页数:32
相关论文
共 33 条
  • [1] Eigenvalue Ratio Test for the Number of Factors
    Ahn, Seung C.
    Horenstein, Alex R.
    [J]. ECONOMETRICA, 2013, 81 (03) : 1203 - 1227
  • [2] Improved penalization for determining the number of factors in approximate factor models
    Alessi, Lucia
    Barigozzi, Matteo
    Capasso, Marco
    [J]. STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS, 2010, 80 (23-24) : 1806 - 1813
  • [3] [Anonymous], 2010, I MATH STAT ONOGRAPH
  • [4] Inferential theory for factor models of large dimensions.
    Bai, J
    [J]. ECONOMETRICA, 2003, 71 (01) : 135 - 171
  • [5] Determining the number of factors in approximate factor models
    Bai, JS
    Ng, S
    [J]. ECONOMETRICA, 2002, 70 (01) : 191 - 221
  • [6] Confidence intervals for diffusion index forecasts and inference for factor-augmented regressions
    Bai, Jushan
    Ng, Serena
    [J]. ECONOMETRICA, 2006, 74 (04) : 1133 - 1150
  • [7] Bonferroni C., 1936, PUBBLICAZIONI R I SU, V8, P3, DOI DOI 10.4135/9781412961288.N455
  • [8] Bonferroni C.E., 1935, Studi in Onore del Professore Salvatore Ortu Carboni, P13
  • [9] China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America
    Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio
    Pesaran, M. Hashem
    Rebucci, Alessandro
    Xu, Tengteng
    [J]. ECONOMIA-JOURNAL OF THE LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, 2012, 12 (02): : 1 - +
  • [10] FUNDS, FACTORS, AND DIVERSIFICATION IN ARBITRAGE PRICING-MODELS
    CHAMBERLAIN, G
    [J]. ECONOMETRICA, 1983, 51 (05) : 1305 - 1323