Generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process by Doob's theorem and the time evolution of financial prices

被引:4
作者
da Fonseca, Regina C. B. [1 ]
Figueiredo, Annibal [2 ]
de Castro, Marcio T. [2 ]
Mendes, Fabio M. [3 ]
机构
[1] Inst Fed Goias, Dept Math, BR-74055110 Goiania, Go, Brazil
[2] Univ Brasilia, Inst Fis, Int Ctr Condensed Matter Phys, BR-70919970 Brasilia, DF, Brazil
[3] Univ Brasilia, BR-70919970 Gama, DF, Brazil
关键词
Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process; Transition probability; Doob's theorem; Characteristic function; Stock market; TERM STRUCTURE;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2012.12.011
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We generalize the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process using Doob's theorem. We relax the Gaussian and stationary conditions, assuming a linear and time-homogeneous process. The proposed generalization retains much of the simplicity of the original stochastic process, while exhibiting a somewhat richer behavior. Analytical results are obtained using transition probability and the characteristic function formalism and compared with empirical stock market data, which are notorious for the non-Gaussian behavior. The analysis focus on the decay patterns and the convergence study of the first four cumulants considering the logarithmic returns of stock prices. It is shown that the proposed model offers a good improvement over the classical OU model. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1671 / 1680
页数:10
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