Non-nested model selection based on the quantiles and it's application in time series

被引:0
作者
Mehreyan, S. Zamani [1 ]
Sayyareh, A. [2 ]
Thomakos, D. [3 ]
机构
[1] Razi Univ, Dept Stat, Kermanshah, Iran
[2] KN Toosi Univ Technol, Dept Comp Sci & Stat, Tehran, Iran
[3] Univ Peloponnese, Dept Econ, Tripolis Campus, Athens, Greece
关键词
Autoregressive model; Model selection; NoVas forecast; Quantile leasts squares estimation;
D O I
10.1080/03610926.2017.1410714
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We consider the problem of model selection based on quantile analysis and with unknown parameters estimated using quantile leasts squares. We propose a model selection test for the null hypothesis that the competing models are equivalent against the alternative hypothesis that one model is closer to the true model. We follow with two applications of the proposed model selection test. The first application is in model selection for time series with non-normal innovations. The second application is in model selection in the NoVas method, short for normalizing and variance stabilizing transformation, forecast. A set of simulation results also lends strong support to the results presented in the paper.
引用
收藏
页码:332 / 353
页数:22
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