Uncertainty is part of making decisions

被引:8
作者
Hoffman, FO
Chambers, DB
Stager, RH
机构
[1] SENES Oak Ridge Ctr Risk Anal, Oak Ridge, TN 37830 USA
[2] SENES Consultants Ltd, Richmond Hill, ON L4B 3N4, Canada
来源
HUMAN AND ECOLOGICAL RISK ASSESSMENT | 1999年 / 5卷 / 02期
关键词
uncertainty; variability; probability; ecological risk; environmental risk assessment;
D O I
10.1080/10807039991289400
中图分类号
X176 [生物多样性保护];
学科分类号
090705 ;
摘要
Advances in computer technology and applied statistics have provided the opportunity for the non-statistician to investigate uncertainty in a quantitative manner. The following discussion argues, notwithstanding the possible misuse of uncertainty analysis, that uncertainty is always present and that decisions based on human or ecological risk assessment would benefit from disclosure of uncertainty in the estimated risks.
引用
收藏
页码:255 / 261
页数:7
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