Does climate change information affect stated risks of pine beetle impacts on forests? An application of the exchangeability method

被引：4

作者：

Cerroni, Simone ^{[1
,2
]}

Shaw, W. Douglass ^{[3
,4
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Trento, Dept Econ, I-38122 Trento, Italy

[2] Fdn Eni Enrico Mattei, I-20123 Milan, Italy

[3] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Agr Econ, College Stn, TX 77843 USA

[4] Texas A&M Univ, Hazard Reduct & Recovery Ctr, College Stn, TX 77843 USA

来源：

FOREST POLICY AND ECONOMICS | 2012年 / 22卷

关键词：

Climate change; Exchangeability; Pine beetle; Pine forest; Stated risks; SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES; NONEXPECTED UTILITY; EMPIRICAL-MODEL; PERCEPTIONS; IMPROVE; DAMAGE;

D O I：

10.1016/j.forpol.2012.04.001

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

Risks are an essential feature of future climate change impacts. We explore whether knowledge that climate change might be the source of increasing pine beetle impacts on public or private forests affects stated risk estimates of damage, elicited using the exchangeability method. We find that across subjects the difference between public and private forest status does not influence stated risks, but the group told that global warming is the cause of pine beetle damage has significantly higher risk perceptions than the group not given this information. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：72 / 84

页数：13

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