Predicting the Environmental Change of Carbon Emission Patterns in South Asia: A Deep Learning Approach Using BiLSTM

被引:17
作者
Aamir, Muhammad [1 ]
Bhatti, Mughair Aslam [2 ]
Bazai, Sibghat Ullah [3 ]
Marjan, Shah [4 ]
Mirza, Aamir Mehmood [5 ]
Wahid, Abdul [6 ]
Hasnain, Ahmad [2 ]
Bhatti, Uzair Aslam [7 ]
机构
[1] Huanggang Normal Univ, Coll Comp Sci, Huanggang 438000, Peoples R China
[2] Nanjing Normal Univ, Sch Geog, Nanjing 210046, Peoples R China
[3] Balochistan Univ Informat Technol Engn & Managemen, Dept Comp Engn, Quetta 87300, Pakistan
[4] Balochistan Univ Informat Technol Engn & Managemen, Dept Software Engn, Quetta 87300, Pakistan
[5] Balochistan Univ Informat Technol Engn Management, Dept Comp Sci, Quetta 87300, Pakistan
[6] Balochistan Univ Informat Technol Engn & Managemen, Dept Elect Engn, Quetta 87300, Pakistan
[7] Hainan Univ, Sch Informat & Commun Engn, Haikou 570100, Peoples R China
关键词
deep learning; climate change; prediction; BiLSTM; CO2; EMISSION; CHINA; CONSUMPTION; OPENNESS; GROWTH;
D O I
10.3390/atmos13122011
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
China's economy has made significant strides in the past three decades. As a direct result of China's "one belt, one road" (OBOR) initiative, the country's rate of industrialization and urbanization is currently the fastest in the entire world. This rapid development is largely dependent on the enormous amounts of energy currently being consumed and forms the foundation of the world's high levels of carbon emissions. It is generally agreed that the production of greenhouse gases, particularly carbon dioxide, is the primary contributor to the current state of climate change. In this paper, a CO2 emission prediction model based on Bi-LSTM is constructed. In order to conduct empirical tests on the model, this study uses data from South Asian countries and China from 2001 to 2020. China's CO2 emissions from 2022 to 2030 were predicted along with those of other countries in order to study the combined effects of the scientific and technological progress, industrial structures, and energy structure factors affecting CO2 emissions. When compared with the LSTM and GRU methods, the Bi-LSTM model's results produced lower MAE, MSE, and MAPE values, indicating that it performs better. According to the findings, carbon emissions represent a significant problem that will become much worse in the future due to China and India's high emissions, particularly in the next 10 years, if the government does not implement policies that help reduce those emissions.
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页数:14
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