Jumps in commodity prices: New approaches for pricing plain vanilla options

被引:8
作者
Crosby, John [1 ]
Frau, Carme [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Old Dominion Univ, Strome Coll Business, Norfolk, VA USA
[2] Univ Balear Isl, Business Econ Dept, Palma De Mallorca, Spain
[3] 601 West Huangpu Ave, Guangzhou 510632, Peoples R China
关键词
Commodities; Crude oil; Futures prices; Option pricing; Fast Fourier transform; Term-structure model; Analytical solution; Stochastic volatility; Jump-diffusion; STOCHASTIC CONVENIENCE YIELD; TERM STRUCTURE; INTEREST-RATES; FUTURES; VOLATILITY; VALUATION; MODEL; BOND;
D O I
10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106302
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We present a new term-structure model for commodity futures prices based on Trolle and Schwartz (2009), which we extend by incorporating multiple jump processes. Our work explores the valuation of plain vanilla options on futures prices when the spot price follows a log-normal process, the forward cost of carry curve and the volatility are stochastic variables, and the spot price and the forward cost of carry allow for time-dampening jumps. We obtain an analytical representation of the characteristic function of the futures prices and, hence, also for plain vanilla option prices using the fast Fourier transform methodology. We price options on WTI crude oil futures contracts using our model and extant models. We obtain higher accuracy than earlier models and save significantly in computing time.
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页数:22
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