Interpersonal comparison of subjective probabilities: Toward translating linguistic probabilities

被引:49
|
作者
Dhami, MK
Wallsten, TS
机构
[1] Univ Cambridge, Fac Law, Inst Criminol, Cambridge CB3 9DT, England
[2] Univ Maryland, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
关键词
D O I
10.3758/BF03193213
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
Interpersonal variability in understanding linguistic probabilities can adversely affect decision making. Using the fact that everyone judges canonical probability events similarly in a manner consistent with axiom systems that yield a probability measure, we developed and tested a method for comparing the meanings of probability phrases across individuals. An experiment demonstrated that despite extreme I heterogeneity in participants' linguistic probability lexicons, interpersonal similarity in phrase meaning is well predicted by phrase rank order within the lexicons. Thus, equally ranked phrases have similar meanings, and individual differences in linguistic probabilities may simply be explained by the phrases people use at each rank.
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页码:1057 / 1068
页数:12
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