Interpersonal comparison of subjective probabilities: Toward translating linguistic probabilities

被引:49
|
作者
Dhami, MK
Wallsten, TS
机构
[1] Univ Cambridge, Fac Law, Inst Criminol, Cambridge CB3 9DT, England
[2] Univ Maryland, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
关键词
D O I
10.3758/BF03193213
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
Interpersonal variability in understanding linguistic probabilities can adversely affect decision making. Using the fact that everyone judges canonical probability events similarly in a manner consistent with axiom systems that yield a probability measure, we developed and tested a method for comparing the meanings of probability phrases across individuals. An experiment demonstrated that despite extreme I heterogeneity in participants' linguistic probability lexicons, interpersonal similarity in phrase meaning is well predicted by phrase rank order within the lexicons. Thus, equally ranked phrases have similar meanings, and individual differences in linguistic probabilities may simply be explained by the phrases people use at each rank.
引用
收藏
页码:1057 / 1068
页数:12
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [11] ASSESSING SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES
    MOORE, PG
    OMEGA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 1981, 9 (02): : 209 - 211
  • [12] Subjective probabilities and metaphysics
    Longo, Anna
    PHILOSOPHIQUES, 2020, 47 (02): : 427 - 436
  • [13] Estimating subjective probabilities
    Steffen Andersen
    John Fountain
    Glenn W. Harrison
    E. Elisabet Rutström
    Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2014, 48 : 207 - 229
  • [14] Countably additive subjective probabilities
    Stinchcombe, MB
    REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES, 1997, 64 (01): : 125 - 146
  • [15] SHOULD SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES BE SHARP?
    Bradley, Seamus
    Steele, Katie
    EPISTEME-A JOURNAL OF INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIAL EPISTEMOLOGY, 2014, 11 (03): : 277 - 289
  • [16] SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES AND BUYING INTENTIONS
    FERBER, R
    PISKIE, RA
    REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 1965, 47 (03) : 322 - 325
  • [17] Nested identification of subjective probabilities
    Dreze, Jacques H.
    SERIES-JOURNAL OF THE SPANISH ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, 2012, 3 (1-2): : 259 - 271
  • [18] Balancing acoustic and linguistic probabilities
    Ogawa, A
    Takeda, K
    Itakura, F
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 1998 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ACOUSTICS, SPEECH AND SIGNAL PROCESSING, VOLS 1-6, 1998, : 181 - 184
  • [19] Linguistic probabilities: theory and application
    Joe Halliwell
    Qiang Shen
    Soft Computing, 2009, 13 : 169 - 183
  • [20] A DUTCH BOOK AND SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES
    MOORE, PG
    BRITISH JOURNAL FOR THE PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE, 1983, 34 (03): : 263 - 266