What you don't know can hurt you: Information, external transparency, and interstate conflict, 1982-1999

被引:8
作者
Bell, Sam R. [1 ]
机构
[1] Kansas State Univ, Manhattan, KS 66506 USA
关键词
Crisis bargaining; interstate conflict; diversionary conflict; strategic avoidance; transparency; INTERNATIONAL DISPUTES; STRATEGIC INTERACTION; DEMOCRATIC PEACE; DIVERSIONARY USE; WAR; FORCE; MEDIA; MODEL; INITIATION; BEHAVIOR;
D O I
10.1177/0738894213499659
中图分类号
D81 [国际关系];
学科分类号
030207 ;
摘要
This paper examines the role that information plays in conflict behavior by focusing on the external component of governmental transparency. Building from the crisis bargaining and the diversionary strategic conflict avoidance literature, I argue that governments that are more externally transparent are less likely to initiate conflict and are less likely to have the opportunity to use force for diversionary purposes. Using original data on the access that foreign media has to states, a large-N statistical analysis is implemented. The empirical analysis suggests that states that are more externally transparent are less likely to initiate conflict and that these same states are less likely to respond to domestic challenges with diversionary uses of force. This research demonstrates the important role of governmental transparency and provides support for some of the conclusions of crisis bargaining models and the strategic conflict avoidance argument in the diversionary literature.
引用
收藏
页码:452 / 468
页数:17
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