Drought and Famine in India, 1870-2016

被引:134
作者
Mishra, Vimal [1 ]
Tiwari, Amar Deep [1 ]
Aadhar, Saran [1 ]
Shah, Reepal [1 ]
Xiao, Mu [2 ]
Pai, D. S. [3 ]
Lettenmaier, Dennis [2 ]
机构
[1] Indian Inst Technol, Civil Engn, Gandhinagar, India
[2] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Geog, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USA
[3] Indian Meteorol Dept, Pune, Maharashtra, India
关键词
drought; India; famine; food security; VIC; soil moisture; SOIL-MOISTURE; UNITED-STATES; SURFACE; CLIMATE; FLUCTUATIONS; REANALYSIS; DATASET; FLUXES; ENERGY; WATER;
D O I
10.1029/2018GL081477
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Millions of people died due to famines in India in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries; however, the relationship of historical famines with drought is complicated and not well understood. Using station-based observations and simulations, we reconstruct soil moisture (agricultural) drought in India for the period 1870-2016. We show that over this century and a half period, India experienced seven major drought periods (1876-1882, 1895-1900, 1908-1924, 1937-1945, 1982-1990, 1997-2004, and 2011-2015) based on severity-area-duration analysis of reconstructed soil moisture. Out of six major famines (1873-74, 1876, 1877, 1896-97, 1899, and 1943) that occurred during 1870-2016, five are linked to soil moisture drought, and one (1943) was not. The three most deadly droughts (1877, 1896, and 1899) were linked with the positive phase of El Nino-Southern Oscillation. Five major droughts were not linked with famine, and three of those five nonfamine droughts occurred after Indian independence in 1947.
引用
收藏
页码:2075 / 2083
页数:9
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