Stock network stability in times of crisis

被引:82
作者
Heiberger, Raphael H. [1 ]
机构
[1] Otto Friedrich Univ Bamberg, D-96052 Bamberg, Germany
关键词
Econophysics; Financial crisis; Stock networks; May-Wigner; Ecology; SPANNING-TREES; ASSET TREES; MODULARITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2013.08.053
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
Despite many efforts crises on financial markets are in large part still scientific black-boxes. In this paper, we use a winner-take-all approach to construct a longitudinal network of S&P 500 companies and their correlations between 2000 and 2012. A comparison to complex ecosystems is drawn, especially whether the May-Wigner theorem can describe real-world economic phenomena. The results confirm the utility of the May-Wigner theorem as a stability indicator for the US stock market, since its development matches with the two major crises of this period, the dot-corn bubble and, particularly, the financial crisis. In those times of financial turmoil, the stock network changes its composition, but unlike ecological systems it tightens and the disassortative structure of prosperous markets transforms into a more centralized topology. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:376 / 381
页数:6
相关论文
共 31 条
[1]   Network structure, predator-prey modules, and stability in large food webs [J].
Allesina, Stefano ;
Pascual, Mercedes .
THEORETICAL ECOLOGY, 2008, 1 (01) :55-64
[2]   Asymmetric coevolutionary networks facilitate biodiversity maintenance [J].
Bascompte, J ;
Jordano, P ;
Olesen, JM .
SCIENCE, 2006, 312 (5772) :431-433
[3]   Fast unfolding of communities in large networks [J].
Blondel, Vincent D. ;
Guillaume, Jean-Loup ;
Lambiotte, Renaud ;
Lefebvre, Etienne .
JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL MECHANICS-THEORY AND EXPERIMENT, 2008,
[4]   Topology of correlation-based minimal spanning trees in real and model markets [J].
Bonanno, G ;
Caldarelli, G ;
Lillo, F ;
Mantegna, RN .
PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 2003, 68 (04)
[5]   Sovereign debt crisis in the European Union: A minimum spanning tree approach [J].
Dias, Joao .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2012, 391 (05) :2046-2055
[6]   Comovements in government bond markets: A minimum spanning tree analysis [J].
Gilmore, Claire G. ;
Lucey, Brian M. ;
Boscia, Marian W. .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2010, 389 (21) :4875-4886
[7]   Systemic risk in banking ecosystems [J].
Haldane, Andrew G. ;
May, Robert M. .
NATURE, 2011, 469 (7330) :351-355
[8]   THE MAY-WIGNER STABILITY THEOREM [J].
HASTINGS, HM .
JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY, 1982, 97 (02) :155-166
[9]   Community detection algorithms: A comparative analysis [J].
Lancichinetti, Andrea ;
Fortunato, Santo .
PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 2009, 80 (05)
[10]   Fierce stock market fluctuation disrupts scalefree distribution [J].
Liu, Jing ;
Tse, Chi K. ;
He, Keqing .
QUANTITATIVE FINANCE, 2011, 11 (06) :817-823