Systemic financial risk and macroeconomic activity in China

被引:5
|
作者
He, Qing [1 ,2 ]
Liu, Junyi [3 ]
Gan, Jingyun [1 ]
Qian, Zongxin [1 ]
机构
[1] Renmin Univ China, Sch Finance, Beijing, Peoples R China
[2] Renmin Univ China, China Financial Policy Res Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China
[3] Soka Univ Amer, Dept Econ, Aliso Viejo, CA 92656 USA
关键词
Systemic financial risk; Principal components quantile regression; Real economy;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconbus.2018.10.002
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Using the principal components quantile regression (PCQR) method, we construct a systemic financial risk index that aggregates information from 15 popular measures of systemic risk. The empirical results indicate that our index is able to accurately predict the distribution of subsequent shocks to the real economy of China.
引用
收藏
页码:57 / 63
页数:7
相关论文
共 42 条
  • [1] Institutional investor heterogeneity and systemic financial risk: Evidence from China
    Huang, Wenli
    Zhu, Yuanhao
    Li, Shi
    Xu, Yueling
    RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE, 2024, 68
  • [2] Research on Systemic Financial Risk Measurement Based on HMM and Text Mining: A Case of China Financial Market
    Li, Zhanfeng
    Cai, Yanli
    Hu, Shulan
    IEEE ACCESS, 2021, 9 : 22171 - 22185
  • [3] How geopolitical tensions affect China's systemic financial risk contagion
    Zhou, Yingxue
    Wang, Da
    Nie, Zhengyi
    CHINA ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2025, 90
  • [4] Measurement and Early Warning of Systemic Financial Risk in China: Markov Switching Models
    Wang, Yingdong
    Xi, Wenzhi
    COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS, 2025,
  • [5] Economic policy uncertainty, investor sentiment and systemic financial risk: Evidence from China
    Fang, Guobin
    Zhou, Xuehua
    Ma, Huimin
    Zhao, Xiaofang
    Deng, Yaoxun
    Xie, Luoyan
    NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2025, 76
  • [6] Navigating Uncertainty: The Micro-Level Dynamics of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Systemic Financial Risk in China's Financial Institutions
    Shao, Hualu
    Zhou, Baicheng
    Wang, Di
    An, Zirong
    JOURNAL OF THE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY, 2024,
  • [7] Systemic Financial Risk Forecasting with Decomposition-Clustering-Ensemble Learning Approach: Evidence from China
    Ouyang, Zhongzhe
    Lu, Min
    SYMMETRY-BASEL, 2024, 16 (04):
  • [8] How Connected Is China's Systemic Financial Risk Contagion Network?-A Dynamic Network Perspective Analysis
    Zhang, Beibei
    Xie, Xuemei
    Li, Chunmei
    MATHEMATICS, 2023, 11 (10)
  • [9] Bank network structure and systemic financial risk contagion
    Yang, Ke
    Wang, Jianchen
    Tian, Fengping
    Xitong Gongcheng Lilun yu Shijian/System Engineering Theory and Practice, 2024, 44 (07): : 2120 - 2136
  • [10] Predicting systemic financial risk with interpretable machine learning
    Tang, Pan
    Tang, Tiantian
    Lu, Chennuo
    NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2024, 71