Risk Factors Affecting Traffic Accidents at Urban Weaving Sections: Evidence from China

被引:26
作者
Mao, Xinhua [1 ,2 ]
Yuan, Changwei [1 ]
Gan, Jiahua [3 ]
Zhang, Shiqing [4 ]
机构
[1] Changan Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Xian 710064, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Waterloo, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada
[3] Minist Transport, Transport Planning & Res Inst, Beijing 100028, Peoples R China
[4] Zhengzhou Univ Aeronaut, Sch Management Engn, Zhengzhou 450046, Henan, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
traffic accidents; risk factors; weaving section; multinomial logistic regression; MULTIVARIABLE REGRESSION-MODEL; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION; DRIVING BEHAVIOR; NEURAL-NETWORKS; INJURY SEVERITY; SAFETY; CLASSIFICATION; VEHICLE; TREE; PERCEPTION;
D O I
10.3390/ijerph16091542
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
As a critical configuration of interchanges, the weaving section is inclined to be involved in more traffic accidents, which may bring about severe casualties. To identify the factors associated with traffic accidents at the weaving section, we employed the multinomial logistic regression approach to identify the correlation between six categories of risk factors (drivers' attributes, weather conditions, traffic characteristics, driving behavior, vehicle types and temporal-spatial distribution) and four types of traffic accidents (rear-end, side wipe, collision with fixtures and rollover) based on 768 accident samples of an observed weaving section from 2016 to 2018. The modeling results show that drivers' gender and age, weather condition, traffic density, weaving ratio, vehicle speed, lane change behavior, private cars, season, time period, day of week and accident location are important factors affecting traffic accidents at the weaving section, but they have different contributions to the four traffic accident types. The results also show that traffic density of >= 31 vehicle/100 m has the highest risk of causing rear-end accidents, weaving ration of >= 41% has the highest possibility to bring about a side wipe incident, collision with fixtures is the most likely to happen in snowy weather, and rollover is the most likely incident to occur in rainy weather.
引用
收藏
页数:17
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