Travel-to-school mode choice modelling and patterns of school choice in urban areas

被引:139
作者
Mueller, Sven [1 ]
Tscharaktschiew, Stefan [1 ]
Haase, Knut [1 ]
机构
[1] Tech Univ Dresden, Inst Transport & Econ, D-01062 Dresden, Germany
关键词
multinomial logit model; data disaggregation; school choice; travel-to-school mode choice;
D O I
10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2007.12.004
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Because of declining enrollment and school closures in some German regions students have to choose a certain school location from a reduced set of schools. For the analysis of adverse effects of school closures on transport mode choice the patterns of school choice are specified first. It seems that proximity and the profile offered (languages as a core for example) are adequate factors. Second, the travelto-school mode choice are modelled using a multinornial logit approach, since students might switch from low cost transport modes (cycling for instance) to modes with remarkably higher costs (public transport for instance). Here, the most influencing factors are distance, car availability and weather. Furthermore, these findings are incorporated into a case study to quantify the effects of a modal-shift (switch from one transport mode to another). For this analysis a comprehensive survey was undertaken and a method of data disaggregation and geocoding is presented. (c) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:342 / 357
页数:16
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