The Geography of Conflicts and Regional Trade Agreements

被引：87

作者：

Martin, Philippe ^{[1
]}

Mayer, Thierry ^{[1
]}

Thoenig, Mathias ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Sci Po, Dept Econ, F-75007 Paris, France

[2] Univ Lausanne, Quartier UNIL Dorigny, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland

来源：

AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-MACROECONOMICS | 2012年 / 4卷 / 04期

关键词：

INTERNATIONAL-TRADE; WAR; MODELS; IMPACT; GAINS; PEACE;

D O I：

10.1257/mac.4.4.1

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

In addition to standard trade gains, regional trade agreements (RTAs) can promote peaceful relations by increasing the opportunity cost of conflicts. Country pairs with large trade gains from RTAs and a high probability of conflict should be more likely to sign an RTA. Using data from 1950 to 2000, we show that this complementarity between economic and politics determines the geography of RTAs. We disentangle trade gains from political factors by a theory-driven empirical estimation and find that country pairs with higher frequency of past wars are more likely to sign RTAs, the more so the larger the trade gains. (JEL D72, D74, F15, N70)

引用

页码：1 / 35

页数：35

共 49 条

[41] Freedom Fries [J].