Does realized skewness predict the cross-section of equity returns?

被引:318
作者
Amaya, Diego [1 ]
Christoffersen, Peter [2 ,3 ,4 ]
Jacobs, Kris [5 ]
Vasquez, Aurelio [6 ]
机构
[1] Univ Quebec, Ecole Sci Gest, Montreal, PQ H2X 3X2, Canada
[2] Univ Toronto, Rotman Sch Management, Toronto, ON M5S 3E6, Canada
[3] Copenhagen Business Sch, DK-2000 Federiksberg, Denmark
[4] Univ Aarhus, CREATES, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark
[5] Univ Houston, Bauer Coll Business, Houston, TX 77204 USA
[6] ITAM, Mexico City 01080, DF, Mexico
关键词
Realized volatility; Skewness; Kurtosis; Equity markets; Cross-section of stock returns; STOCK RETURNS; VOLATILITY; MARKET; RISK; PREFERENCE; EQUILIBRIUM; LIQUIDITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.02.009
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We use intraday data to compute weekly realized moments for equity returns and study their time-series and cross-sectional properties. Buying stocks in the lowest realized skewness decile and selling stocks in the highest realized skewness decile generates an average return of 19 basis points the following week with a t-statistic of 3.70. This result is robust across a wide variety of implementations and is not captured by the Fama-French and Carhart factors. The relation between realized kurtosis and next week's stock returns is positive but not always significant. We do not find a strong relation between realized volatility and next week's stock returns. (C) 2015 Elsevier BM. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:135 / 167
页数:33
相关论文
共 63 条
  • [1] HIGH FREQUENCY MARKET MICROSTRUCTURE NOISE ESTIMATES AND LIQUIDITY MEASURES
    Ait-Sahalia, Yacine
    Yu, Jialin
    [J]. ANNALS OF APPLIED STATISTICS, 2009, 3 (01) : 422 - 457
  • [2] Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects
    Amihud, Y
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL MARKETS, 2002, 5 (01) : 31 - 56
  • [3] Andersen T. G., 2000, Risk, V13, P105
  • [4] Andersen T.G., 2009, Handbook of Financial Time Series, P555
  • [5] The distribution of realized stock return volatility
    Andersen, TG
    Bollerslev, T
    Diebold, FX
    Ebens, H
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2001, 61 (01) : 43 - 76
  • [6] Answering the skeptics: Yes, standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts
    Andersen, TG
    Bollerslev, T
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW, 1998, 39 (04) : 885 - 905
  • [7] The distribution of realized exchange rate volatility
    Andersen, TG
    Bollerslev, T
    Diebold, FX
    Labys, P
    [J]. JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 2001, 96 (453) : 42 - 55
  • [8] Modeling and forecasting realized volatility
    Andersen, TG
    Bollerslev, T
    Diebold, FX
    Labys, P
    [J]. ECONOMETRICA, 2003, 71 (02) : 579 - 625
  • [9] Jump-robust volatility estimation using nearest neighbor truncation
    Andersen, Torben G.
    Dobrev, Dobrislav
    Schaumburg, Ernst
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2012, 169 (01) : 75 - 93
  • [10] Realized volatility forecasting and market microstructure noise
    Andersen, Torben G.
    Bollerslev, Tim
    Meddahi, Nour
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2011, 160 (01) : 220 - 234