Lithium Resources and Production: Critical Assessment and Global Projections

被引:229
作者
Mohr, Steve H. [1 ,2 ]
Mudd, Gavin M. [1 ]
Giurco, Damien [2 ]
机构
[1] Monash Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Clayton, Vic 3800, Australia
[2] Univ Technol Sydney, Inst Sustainable Futures, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia
关键词
lithium resources; lithium supply; electric vehicle demand;
D O I
10.3390/min2010065
中图分类号
P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];
学科分类号
0708 ; 070902 ;
摘要
This paper critically assesses if accessible lithium resources are sufficient for expanded demand due to lithium battery electric vehicles. The ultimately recoverable resources (URR) of lithium globally were estimated at between 19.3 (Case 1) and 55.0 (Case 3) Mt Li; Best Estimate (BE) was 23.6 Mt Li. The Mohr 2010 model was modified to project lithium supply. The Case 1 URR scenario indicates sufficient lithium for a 77% maximum penetration of lithium battery electric vehicles in 2080 whereas supply is adequate to beyond 2200 in the Case 3 URR scenario. Global lithium demand approached a maximum of 857 kt Li/y, with a 100% penetration of lithium vehicles, 3.5 people per car and 10 billion population.
引用
收藏
页码:65 / 84
页数:20
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