Treatment of uncertainty in risk assessments in the Rogfast road tunnel project

被引:28
作者
Bjelland, Henrik [1 ]
Aven, Terje [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Stavanger, N-4036 Stavanger, Norway
关键词
Sub-sea road tunnels; Risk; Risk assessments; Uncertainty; SYSTEMS; SAFETY; DEFINE;
D O I
10.1016/j.ssci.2012.12.012
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
In this paper we review and discuss the use of risk assessments in the design of the world's longest and deepest subsea road tunnel, the Rogfast. We show that there is a discrepancy between the existence of uncertainties in both phenomena and assumptions on the one hand, and the way these uncertainties are assessed and handled in the risk assessment and risk management processes on the other: considerable uncertainties and risks are neglected. The main purpose of the paper is to point to this situation and present a more suitable framework for how to assess and manage this type of risk and uncertainties. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码:34 / 44
页数:11
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