Plasma thymidine kinase 1 activity and outcome of ER+HER2-metastatic breast cancer patients treated with palbociclib and endocrine therapy

Purpose Previous cohort studies have reported plasma TK1 activity (pTKa) as a potential prognostic biomarker in estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) HER2-negative (HER2-) metastatic breast cancer (MBC). In this prospective study, we report here the prognostic impact of pTKa in ER+/HER2- MBC patients treated with endocrine therapy and CDK4/6 inhibitor. Experimental design Patients were included into the prospective, ethics committee-approved ALCINA study (NCT02866149). Eligibility criteria were patients with ER+/HER2- MBC treated at Institut Curie with endocrine therapy and palbociclib. Plasma samples were obtained at baseline and after 4 weeks of treatment. pTKa was quantified by the DiviTum (R) assay (Biovica, Sweden). Results From May 2016 to August 2018, 103 patients treated with endocrine therapy and palbociclib were included. Patients had received a median of two prior systemic therapies for MBC (range 0-14). Median follow-up was 13.8 months (range 6-31), with median PFS and OS of 9.6 months (95%CI [7.0-11.3]) and 28 months (95%CI [23-not reached]), respectively. Median baseline pTKa was 292 Du/L (range 20-27,312 Du/L, IQR [89-853]). After adjusting for other prognostic factors, baseline pTKa remained an independent prognostic factor for both PFS (HR = 1.3 95%CI [1.1-1.4],p = 0.0005) and OS (HR = 1.3 95%CI [1.2-1.6],p < 0.0001), and 4-week pTKa was associated with OS (HR = 1.6 95%CI [1.3-2],p < 0.0001). That survival prediction was significantly improved by the addition of baseline pTKa to clinicopathological characteristics. Adding pTKa changes at 4 weeks to baseline pTKa did not further increase survival prediction. Conclusion This study demonstrates the clinical validity of pTKa as a new circulating prognostic marker in ER+/HER2- MBC patients treated with endocrine therapy and palbociclib.