Intraday volatility spillovers between spot and futures indices: Evidence from the Korean stock market

被引:40
作者
Kang, Sang Hoon [1 ]
Cheong, Chongcheul [2 ]
Yoon, Seong-Min [3 ]
机构
[1] Pusan Natl Univ, Dept Business Adm, Pusan, South Korea
[2] Xian Jiaotong Liverpool Univ, Dept Business Econ & Management, Suzhou, Peoples R China
[3] Pusan Natl Univ, Dept Econ, Pusan, South Korea
基金
新加坡国家研究基金会;
关键词
Bi-directional causality; Positive feedback; Self-organized criticality; Synchronization; Volatility spillover; LEAD-LAG RELATIONSHIP; HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA; PRICE DISCOVERY; CROSS-CORRELATIONS; VOLUME; CASH; ARCH;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2013.01.017
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
This study provides empirical evidence of the relationship between spot and futures markets in Korea. In particular, the study focuses on the volatility spillover relationship between spot and futures markets by using three high-frequency (10 min, 30 min, and 1 h time-scales) intraday data sets of KOSPI 200 spot and futures contracts. The results indicate a strong bi-directional causal relationship between futures and spot markets, suggesting that return volatility in the spot market can influence that in the futures market and vice versa. Thus, the results indicate that new information is reflected in futures and spot markets simultaneously. This bi-directional causal relationship provides market participants with important guidance on understanding the intraday information transmission between the two markets. Thus, on a given trading day, there may be sudden and sharp increases or decreases in return volatility in the Korean stock market as a result of positive feedback and synchronization of spot and futures markets. (c) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1795 / 1802
页数:8
相关论文
共 52 条
[1]   Cross-correlation of long-range correlated series [J].
Arianos, Sergio ;
Carbone, Anna .
JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL MECHANICS-THEORY AND EXPERIMENT, 2009,
[2]   COMMON VOLATILITY IN STANDARD-AND-POOR-500 STOCK INDEX AND STANDARD-AND-POOR-500 INDEX FUTURES PRICES DURING OCTOBER 1987 [J].
ARSHANPALLI, B ;
DOUKAS, J .
JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 1994, 14 (08) :915-925
[3]   A threshold model for Australian Stock Exchange equities [J].
Bertram, WK .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2005, 346 (3-4) :561-576
[4]   An empirical investigation of Australian Stock Exchange data [J].
Bertram, WK .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2004, 341 :533-546
[5]  
Booth GG, 1999, J FUTURES MARKETS, V19, P619, DOI 10.1002/(SICI)1096-9934(199909)19:6<619::AID-FUT1>3.0.CO
[6]  
2-M
[7]   INTRADAY VOLATILITY IN THE STOCK INDEX AND STOCK INDEX FUTURES MARKETS [J].
CHAN, K ;
CHAN, KC ;
KAROLYI, GA .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 1991, 4 (04) :657-684
[8]   INTRADAY RELATIONSHIPS AMONG INDEX ARBITRAGE, SPOT AND FUTURES PRICE VOLATILITY, AND SPOT MARKET VOLUME - A TRANSACTIONS DATA TEST [J].
CHAN, K ;
CHUNG, YP .
JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 1993, 17 (04) :663-687
[9]   A FURTHER ANALYSIS OF THE LEAD-LAG RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE CASH MARKET AND STOCK INDEX FUTURES MARKET [J].
CHAN, KL .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 1992, 5 (01) :123-152
[10]  
Chen LinChing-Chung., 2002, REV PAC BASIN FINANC, V5, P255