Neural networks and non-linear statistical methods: an application to the modelling of price-quality relationships

被引:30
|
作者
Curry, B [1 ]
Morgan, P [1 ]
Silver, M [1 ]
机构
[1] Cardiff Univ, Cardiff Business Sch, Cardiff CF1 3EU, S Glam, Wales
关键词
hedonic regression; neural network; universal approximation; non-linear regression; back propagation; polytope algorithm;
D O I
10.1016/S0305-0548(00)00096-4
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
This paper examines the potential of a neural network (NN) approach to the analysis of 'hedonic' regressions, in which price is dependent on quality characteristics. The aim of the regressions is to measure, using objective data, the valuation consumers place on these characteristics. A neural network approach is employed because of potential non-linearities in the hedonic functions, using the property of 'universal approximation'. Our NN implementation goes beyond the now-orthodox approach in using the Polytope algorithm, which we compare with Back propagation, and uses two hidden layers. The results obtained provide an improvement on linear formulations, but the improvement in this case is relatively marginal. We view NN modelling as a useful means of specification testing and hence our results imply some support for a linear formulation as an adequate approximation. From a managerial perspective, the linear model is more easily interpreted. NN modelling is potentially very time-consuming, especially with the Polytope algorithm, and requires a good deal of technical skill. Scope and purpose The application area studied in the paper involves 'hedonic' regressions, which is the term usually employed for regressions of prices on the characteristics of goods. These employ objective data rather than subjective evaluations of intent and as well as having predictive capacity they serve to indicate the valuation placed on characteristics by consumers. In the extensive literature on the subject there is extensive debate on the appropriate functional form for the regressions. We have employed neural networks (NNs) in order to cast some light on the issue, because of their property of 'universal approximation' which, although in danger of being taken too literally means a capacity to 'mimic' a wide variety of shapes. We specifically employ an NN model as a test of linearity for hedonic functions, using the Polytope algorithm as an alternative to the standard Backpropagation method. Our results indicate that only a marginal improvement in goodness of fit is obtained, despite various theoretical arguments against a linear formulation. The linear model is given some support in our work as an adequate working approximation. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:951 / 969
页数:19
相关论文
共 34 条
  • [31] Universal Approximation of a Class of Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Neural Networks Illustrated with the Case of Non-linear Identification
    Castro, Juan R.
    Castillo, Oscar
    Melin, Patricia
    Rodriguez-Diaz, Antonio
    Mendoza, Olivia
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE JOINT 2009 INTERNATIONAL FUZZY SYSTEMS ASSOCIATION WORLD CONGRESS AND 2009 EUROPEAN SOCIETY OF FUZZY LOGIC AND TECHNOLOGY CONFERENCE, 2009, : 1382 - 1387
  • [32] Uncertainty analysis of linear and non-linear regression models in the modeling of water quality in the Caspian Sea basin: Application of Monte-Carlo method
    Masteali, Sahar Heidari
    Bayat, Mahmoud
    Bettinger, Pete
    Ghorbanpour, Mansour
    ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS, 2025, 170
  • [33] Bitcoin Crypto-Asset Prediction: With an Application of Linear Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Method, and Non-Linear Multi-Layered and Feedback Artificial Neural Network Models
    Sunbul, Ersin
    Ozyurek, Hamide
    EGE ACADEMIC REVIEW, 2025, 25 (01)
  • [34] Ultra-short-term exogenous forecasting of photovoltaic power production using genetically optimized non-linear auto-regressive recurrent neural networks
    Hassan, Muhammed A.
    Bailek, Nadjem
    Bouchouicha, Kada
    Nwokolo, Samuel Chukwujindu
    RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2021, 171 (171) : 191 - 209