Twentieth century redistribution in climatic drivers of global tree growth

被引:406
作者
Babst, Flurin [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Bouriaud, Olivier [4 ]
Poulter, Benjamin [5 ]
Trouet, Valerie [3 ]
Girardin, Martin P. [6 ,7 ]
Frank, David C. [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Swiss Fed Res Inst WSL, Dendro Sci Grp, Zurcherstr 111, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland
[2] Polish Acad Sci, W Szafer Inst Bot, Dept Ecol, Ul Lubicz 46, PL-31512 Krakow, Poland
[3] Univ Arizona, Lab Tree Ring Res, 1215 E Lowell St, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA
[4] Stefan cel Mare Univ Suceava, Str Univ 13, Suceava 720229, Romania
[5] NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA
[6] Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, Laurentian Forestry Ctr, Quebec City, PQ G1V4C7, Canada
[7] Univ Quebec Montreal, Ctr Etud Foret, CP 8888, Montreal, PQ H3C 3P8, Canada
基金
欧盟地平线“2020”; 瑞士国家科学基金会;
关键词
FOREST PRODUCTIVITY; CARBON ALLOCATION; DROUGHT; BOREAL; WATER; SENSITIVITIES; ECOSYSTEMS; IMPACTS; MODELS; TRENDS;
D O I
10.1126/sciadv.aat4313
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Energy and water limitations of tree growth remain insufficiently understood at large spatiotemporal scales, hindering model representation of interannual or longer-term ecosystem processes. By assessing and statistically scaling the climatic drivers from 2710 tree-ring sites, we identified the boreal and temperate land areas where tree growth during 1930-1960 CE responded positively to temperature (20.8 +/- 3.7 Mio km(2); 25.9 +/- 4.6%), precipitation (77.5 +/- 3.3 Mio km(2); 96.4 +/- 4.1%), and other parameters. The spatial manifestation of this climate response is determined by latitudinal and altitudinal temperature gradients, indicating that warming leads to geographic shifts in growth limitations. We observed a significant (P < 0.001) decrease in temperature response at cold-dry sites between 1930-1960 and 1960-1990 CE, and the total temperature-limited area shrunk by -8.7 +/- 0.6 Mio km(2). Simultaneously, trees became more limited by atmospheric water demand almost worldwide. These changes occurred under mild warming, and we expect that continued climate change will trigger a major redistribution in growth responses to climate.
引用
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页数:9
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