Small open economy DSGE model;
foreign debt;
risk premium;
Korean economy;
BUSINESS CYCLES;
MONETARY-POLICY;
BALANCE-SHEET;
D O I:
10.1142/S0217590815500770
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
We examine the role of foreign debt and financial frictions in the Korean business cycle using a small open economy DSGE (dynamic stochastic general equilibrium) model where domestic banks borrow external funds, denominated in foreign currencies, for a risk premium and make loans to domestic producers. We find that the Korean economy is 'financially vulnerable', which means that the risk premium increases when the domestic currency depreciates. As a result, depreciation could cause recession, rather than expansion, when there exist substantial amount of foreign debt or financial frictions. A simulation shows that the Korean business cycle would suffer less volatility with a lower steady-state level of foreign debt or no financial frictions.
机构:
Bank Lithuania, Financial Stabil Dept, Vilnius, Lithuania
Vilnius Univ, Fac Econ & Business Adm, Vilnius, LithuaniaBank Lithuania, Financial Stabil Dept, Vilnius, Lithuania
Karmelavicius, Jaunius
Ramanauskas, Tomas
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Vilnius Univ, Fac Econ & Business Adm, Vilnius, LithuaniaBank Lithuania, Financial Stabil Dept, Vilnius, Lithuania
机构:
Ibn Zohr Univ, Fac Law Econ & Social Sci Agadir, BP 8658 Cite Dakhla Agadir, Agadir, MoroccoIbn Zohr Univ, Fac Law Econ & Social Sci Agadir, BP 8658 Cite Dakhla Agadir, Agadir, Morocco
机构:
Xiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China
Rutgers State Univ, Dept Stat, Piscataway, NJ 08854 USAXiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China
Zheng, Tingguo
Guo, Huiming
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
NAFMII, Beijing 100033, Peoples R ChinaXiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China
机构:
Bank Lithuania, Financial Stabil Dept, Vilnius, Lithuania
Vilnius Univ, Fac Econ & Business Adm, Vilnius, LithuaniaBank Lithuania, Financial Stabil Dept, Vilnius, Lithuania
Karmelavicius, Jaunius
Ramanauskas, Tomas
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Vilnius Univ, Fac Econ & Business Adm, Vilnius, LithuaniaBank Lithuania, Financial Stabil Dept, Vilnius, Lithuania
机构:
Ibn Zohr Univ, Fac Law Econ & Social Sci Agadir, BP 8658 Cite Dakhla Agadir, Agadir, MoroccoIbn Zohr Univ, Fac Law Econ & Social Sci Agadir, BP 8658 Cite Dakhla Agadir, Agadir, Morocco
机构:
Xiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China
Rutgers State Univ, Dept Stat, Piscataway, NJ 08854 USAXiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China
Zheng, Tingguo
Guo, Huiming
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
NAFMII, Beijing 100033, Peoples R ChinaXiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China