Diagnostic accuracy of the Kampala Trauma Score using estimated Abbreviated Injury Scale scores and physician opinion

Background: The Kampala Trauma Score (KTS) has been proposed as a triage tool for use in low-and middle-income countries (LMICs). This study aimed to examine the diagnostic accuracy of KTS in predicting emergency department outcomes using timely injury estimation with Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) score and physician opinion to calculate KTS scores. Methods: This was a diagnostic accuracy study of KTS among injured patients presenting to Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital A& E, Ghana. South African Triage Scale (SATS); KTS component variables, including AIS scores and physician opinion for serious injury quantification; and ED disposition were collected. Agreement between estimated AIS score and physician opinion were analyzed with normal, linear weighted, and maximum kappa. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of KTS-AIS and KTS-physician opinion was performed to evaluate each measure's ability to predict A& E mortality and need for hospital admission to the ward or theatre. Results: A total of 1053 patients were sampled. There was moderate agreement between AIS criteria and physician opinion by normal (k = 0.41), weighted (k(lin) = 0.47), and maximum (k(max) = 0.53) kappa. A& E mortality ROC area for KTS-AIS was 0.93, KTS-physician opinion 0.89, and SATS 0.88 with overlapping 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Hospital admission ROC area for KTS-AIS was 0.73, KTS-physician opinion 0.79, and SATS 0.71 with statistical similarity. When evaluating only patients with serious injuries, KTS-AIS (ROC 0.88) and KTS-physician opinion (ROC 0.88) performed similarly to SATS (ROC 0.78) in predicting A& E mortality. The ROC area for KTS-AIS (ROC 0.71; 95% CI 0.66-0.75) and KTS-physician opinion (ROC 0.74; 95% CI 0.69-0.79) was significantly greater than SATS (ROC 0.57; 0.53-0.60) with regard to need for admission. Conclusions: KTS predicted mortality and need for admission from the ED well when early estimation of the number of serious injuries was used, regardless of method (i. e. AIS criteria or physician opinion). This study provides evidence for KTS to be used as a practical and valid triage tool to predict patient prognosis, ED outcomes and inform referral decision-making from first-or second-level hospitals in LMICs. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.