A decision making support tool: the Resilience Management Fuzzy Controller

被引:0
作者
Cardenas, J. Ruben G. [1 ]
Nebot, Angela [2 ]
Mugica, Francisco [2 ]
Vellido, Alfredo [2 ]
机构
[1] IUSS UME Sch, Via Ferrara 45, Pavia, Italy
[2] Tech Univ Catalonia, Soft Computing Grp, Jordi Girona Salgado 1-3, Barcelona, Spain
来源
2016 IEEE CONGRESS ON EVOLUTIONARY COMPUTATION (CEC) | 2016年
关键词
Fuzzy Sets; Risk Management; Natural Hazards; Social Vulnerability; Resilience Management; Fuzzy Controllers; Inference System; Machine Learning; Artificial Intelligence; Decision Support System;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In this paper a fuzzy controller capable to perform an automated estimation of the period of time necessary to recover a resilience level is proposed. Estimations where made by considering realistic time-dependent action changes for a set of resilience indicators originally proposed by Cardona (2001) and modified by Cardenas et al (2015). The fuzzy resilience controller works using two output control variables and four input variables designed to resemble politics decisions made over resilience recovery while considering an economical national growth factor. We applied the fuzzy controller onto Barcelona Spain, where different recovery times where estimated in terms of variations in Spaniard GDP (Gross domestic product) inter anual rate of change. This Decision Support System might be helpful to assist disaster reduction planning by allowing decision takers, governs or institutions to achieve reliable recovery time estimations while a proper supervision and control of resilience indicators progress is performed and an open evaluation and scrutiny of applied policies is made.
引用
收藏
页码:2313 / 2320
页数:8
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