100% Clean and Renewable Wind, Water, and Sunlight All-Sector Energy Roadmaps for 139 Countries of the World

被引：662

作者：

Jacobson, Mark Z. ^{[1
]}

Delucchi, Mark A. ^{[2
]}

Bauer, Zack A. F. ^{[1
]}

Goodman, Savannah C. ^{[1
]}

Chapman, William E. ^{[1
]}

Cameron, Mary A. ^{[1
]}

Bozonnat, Cedric ^{[1
]}

Chobadi, Liat ^{[3
]}

Clonts, Hailey A. ^{[1
]}

Enevoldsen, Peter ^{[4
]}

Erwin, Jenny R. ^{[1
]}

Fobi, Simone N. ^{[1
]}

Goldstrom, Owen K. ^{[1
]}

Hennessy, Eleanor M. ^{[1
]}

Liu, Jingyi ^{[1
]}

Lo, Jonathan ^{[1
]}

Meyer, Clayton B. ^{[1
]}

Morris, Sean B. ^{[1
]}

Moy, Kevin R. ^{[1
]}

O'Neill, Patrick L. ^{[1
]}

Petkov, Ivalin ^{[1
]}

Redfern, Stephanie ^{[1
]}

Schucker, Robin ^{[1
]}

Sontag, Michael A. ^{[1
]}

Wang, Jingfan ^{[1
]}

Weiner, Eric ^{[1
]}

Yachanin, Alexander S. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Stanford Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Atmosphere Energy Program, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

[2] Univ Calif Berkeley, Inst Transportat Studies, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA

[3] Tech Univ Berlin, Sch Planning Bldg & Environm, Berlin, Germany

[4] Aarhus Univ, BTECH, Ctr Energy Technol, Aarhus, Denmark

来源：

JOULE | 2017年 / 1卷 / 01期

关键词：

TERM CLIMATE-CHANGE; HEALTH;

D O I：

10.1016/j.joule.2017.07.005

中图分类号：

O64 [物理化学（理论化学）、化学物理学];

学科分类号：

070304 ; 081704 ;

摘要：

We develop roadmaps to transform the all-purpose energy infrastructures (electricity, transportation, heating/cooling, industry, agriculture/forestry/fishing) of 139 countries to ones powered by wind, water, and sunlight (WWS). The roadmaps envision 80% conversion by 2030 and 100% by 2050. WWS not only replaces business-as-usual (BAU) power, but also reduces it similar to 42.5% because the work: energy ratio of WWS electricity exceeds that of combustion (23.0%), WWS requires no mining, transporting, or processing of fuels (12.6%), and WWS end-use efficiency is assumed to exceed that of BAU (6.9%). Converting may create similar to 24.3 million more permanent, full-time jobs than jobs lost. It may avoid similar to 4.6 million/year premature air-pollution deaths today and similar to 3.5 million/year in 2050; similar to$22.8 trillion/year (12.7 cent/kWh-BAU-all-energy) in 2050 air-pollution costs; and similar to$28.5 trillion/year (15.8 cent/kWh-BAU-all-energy) in 2050 climate costs. Transitioning should also stabilize energy prices because fuel costs are zero, reduce power disruption and increase access to energy by decentralizing power, and avoid 1.5 degrees C global warming.

引用

页码：108 / 121

页数：14

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