Prognosis assessment in metastatic gastrointestinal stromal tumors treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors based on CT-texture analysis

Purpose: Identification of prognostic CT-textural features in patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors undergoing tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy. Methods and materials: We identified 25 GIST patients (mean age, 70.58 +/- 9.7 years; range, 41.25-84.08 years; 20 males, 5 females) with a total of 123 scans, each examined with a standardized CT protocol between 1/2014 - 7/2018. 92 texture features, based on pyradiomics library, were extracted and correlated to response categories; evaluated with help of modified Choi criteria. All patients underwent therapy with imatinib in the first line and different tyrosine kinase inhibitors after disease progression. KIT and PDGFR-mutations were registered in all patients as well as the number of previous treatment regimens, patient's age as well as gender and the presence of contrast enhancement (vitality) in tumor. The lesion with the largest diameter was chosen and contoured using the spherical VOI tool. Inter-rater testing was performed by a second experienced radiologist. Regression and AUC analysis was performed. Results: Ten variables could be confirmed to be significantly associated with disease progression. Of them, four textural parameters were significantly positively associated with disease progression and negatively with progression free survival (Glcm Id [grey-level co-occurrence matrix inverse difference], p = 0.012, HR 3.83; 95% CI 1.697-8.611, Glcm Idn [grey-level co-occurrence matrix inverse difference normalized], p = 0.045, HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.015-4.185, Glrlm [grey-level run length matrix] normalized, p = 0.005, HR 3.181; 95% CI 1.418-7.138 and Ngtdm [neighboring grey-tone difference matrix] coarseness, p < 0.001, HR 3.156, 95% CI 1.554-6.411). Single variables were shown to be significantly inferior to the combination of all variables. After 6 months, 90% of patients with 0-1 risk factors (group 1), 64.4% with 2-3 risk variables and 38.1% of patients presenting > 3 structural risk variables showed stable disease. Gclm Id, Gclm Idn and Glrlm non-uniformity were associated with the number of previous treatments, Glrlm non-uniformity also with tumor vitality (enhancement), whereas Gclm Idn and Ngtdm coarseness were associated with the number of tumor mutations. Conclusion: Some of the CT-textural features correlate with disease progression and the progressive free survival as well as with the number of gene mutations and the number of treatment regimens the patients were exposed to as well as with the tumor enhancement. All these features reflect tumor homogeneity.