Seismic electric signals;
Natural time analysis;
Tohoku earthquake;
Anomalous geomagnetic field variations;
ORDER-PARAMETER FLUCTUATIONS;
MAGNETIC-FIELD;
NATURAL TIME;
PHYSICAL-PROPERTIES;
ELECTRIC-FIELD;
LATEST ASPECTS;
PREDICTION;
EPICENTER;
GENERATION;
SIGNALS;
D O I:
10.1016/j.jseaes.2013.11.008
中图分类号:
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号:
07 ;
摘要:
In Xu et al. (2013), it has just been reported that approximately 2 months prior to the M-w 9.0 Tohoku earthquake that occurred in Japan on 11 March 2011 anomalous variations of the geomagnetic field have been observed in the vertical component at a measuring station about 135 km from the epicenter for about 10 days (4-14 January 2011). Here, we show that this observation is in striking agreement with independent recent results obtained from natural time analysis of seismicity in Japan. In particular, this analysis has revealed that an unprecedented minimum of the order parameter fluctuations of seismicity was observed around 5 January 2011, thus pointing to the initiation at that date of a strong precursory Seismic Electric Signals activity accompanied by the anomalous geomagnetic field variations. Starting from this date, natural time analysis of the subsequent seismicity indicates that a strong main shock was expected in a few days to one week after 08:40 LT on 10 March 2011. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.