Twentieth century surge of excess adult male mortality

被引:118
作者
Beltran-Sanchez, Hiram [1 ]
Finch, Caleb E. [2 ]
Crimmins, Eileen M. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Community Hlth Sci, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
[2] Univ So Calif, Andrus Gerontol Ctr, Los Angeles, CA 90089 USA
关键词
excess male mortality; cohort; smoking; life expectancy; aging; ISCHEMIC-HEART-DISEASE; LIFE EXPECTANCY; SEX-DIFFERENCES; TRENDS; MEN; RISK; PATTERN; WOMEN;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.1421942112
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Using historical data from 1,763 birth cohorts from 1800 to 1935 in 13 developed countries, we show that what is now seen as normal-a large excess of female life expectancy in adulthood-is a demographic phenomenon that emerged among people born in the late 1800s. We show that excess adult male mortality is clearly rooted in specific age groups, 50-70, and that the sex asymmetry emerged in cohorts born after 1880 when male: female mortality ratios increased by as much as 50% from a baseline of about 1.1. Heart disease is the main condition associated with increased excess male mortality for those born after 1900. We further show that smoking-attributable deaths account for about 30% of excess male mortality at ages 5070 for cohorts born in 1900-1935. However, after accounting for smoking, substantial excess male mortality at ages 50-70 remained, particularly from cardiovascular disease. The greater male vulnerability to cardiovascular conditions emerged with the reduction in infectious mortality and changes in health-related behaviors.
引用
收藏
页码:8993 / 8998
页数:6
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