A General Method for Detecting Interference Between Units in Randomized Experiments

被引:50
作者
Aronow, Peter M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Yale Univ, Dept Polit Sci, New Haven, CT 06520 USA
关键词
causal inference; interference between units; randomization inference; CAUSAL INFERENCE;
D O I
10.1177/0049124112437535
中图分类号
O1 [数学]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ; 0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
Interference between units may pose a threat to unbiased causal inference in randomized controlled experiments. Although the assumption of no interference is often necessary for causal inference, few options are available for testing this assumption. This article presents an ex post method for detecting interference between units in randomized experiments. With a test statistic of the analyst's choice, a conditional randomization test allows for the calculation of the exact significance level of the causal dependence of outcomes on the treatment status of other units. The robustness of the method is demonstrated through simulation studies. Moreover, using this method, interference between units is detected in a field experiment designed to assess the effect of mailings on voter turnout in a U.S. primary election.
引用
收藏
页码:3 / 16
页数:14
相关论文
共 16 条
[1]   The spillover effects of state spending [J].
Baicker, K .
JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS, 2005, 89 (2-3) :529-544
[2]   BUDGET SPILLOVERS AND FISCAL-POLICY INTERDEPENDENCE - EVIDENCE FROM THE STATES [J].
CASE, AC ;
ROSEN, HS ;
HINES, JR .
JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS, 1993, 52 (03) :285-307
[3]  
Cox D., 1958, PLANNING EXPT
[4]   Social pressure and voter turnout: Evidence from a large-scale field experiment [J].
Gerber, Alan S. ;
Green, Donald P. ;
Larimer, Christopher W. .
AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2008, 102 (01) :33-48
[5]   Randomization inference with natural experiments: An analysis of ballot effects in the 2003 California recall election [J].
Ho, Daniel E. ;
Imai, Kosuke .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 2006, 101 (475) :888-900
[6]   Toward causal inference with interference [J].
Hudgens, Michael G. ;
Halloran, M. Elizabeth .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 2008, 103 (482) :832-842
[7]   Combining dependent P-values [J].
Kost, JT ;
McDermott, MP .
STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS, 2002, 60 (02) :183-190
[8]  
McConnell Margaret, 2010, 3 ANN NEW YORK U CTR
[9]  
Moore R.T., 2011, blockTools: Block, assign, and diagnose potential interference in randomized experiments
[10]   Is voting contagious? Evidence from two field experiments [J].
Nickerson, David W. .
AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2008, 102 (01) :49-57