Risk pricing inefficiency in public-private partnerships

被引:18
作者
Makovsek, Dejan [1 ]
Moszoro, Marian [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] OECD, Int Transport Forum, 2 Rue Andre Pascal, F-75775 Paris 16, France
[2] George Mason Univ, Dept Econ, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA
[3] Interdisciplinary Ctr Econ Sci, Arlington, VA USA
关键词
Public-private partnership; market efficiency; risk transfer; cost of capital; risk pricing; TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS; COST OVERRUNS; TRAFFIC FORECASTS; MORAL HAZARD; INVESTMENT; ALLOCATION; EFFICIENT; DECISION; RETURNS; PERFORMANCE;
D O I
10.1080/01441647.2017.1324925
中图分类号
U [交通运输];
学科分类号
08 ; 0823 ;
摘要
There is a drive towards delivering and operating public infrastructure through public-private partnership (PPP) rather than traditional public procurement. The assessment of the value for money achieved by the two alternative approaches rests in the cost of financing and their efficiency in delivery and operation. This paper focuses on the cost of financing, in particular the cost associated with transferring risk from the public to private sphere. If capital markets were efficient and complete, the cost of public (government) and private financing should be the same, with the relative delivery and operational efficiency remaining as the primary determinant of value-for-money. Evidence suggests, however, that the risk transfer to a PPP entails an inefficient risk pricing premium which goes beyond the direct cost of financing. We argue that a high price for PPPs results from large risk transfers, risk treatment within the private sector, and uncertainty around the past and future performance of public-private consortia. The corollary is that the efficiency gains from a PPP must be much higher than commonly expected to deliver a greater value for the money than under a traditional approach.
引用
收藏
页码:298 / 321
页数:24
相关论文
共 103 条
[1]   Is the US stock market becoming weakly efficient over time? Evidence from 80-year-long data [J].
Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose ;
Rodriguez, Eduardo ;
Espinosa-Paredes, Gilberto .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2012, 391 (22) :5643-5647
[2]  
[Anonymous], VAL FOR MON AN PRACT
[3]  
[Anonymous], WP1618 IMF
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2011, Cost Overruns in Swedish Transport Projects
[5]  
ARROW KJ, 1970, AM ECON REV, V60, P364
[6]  
Baccarini D., 2006, P AUSTR U BUILD ED A
[7]   Error and optimism bias in toll road traffic forecasts [J].
Bain, Robert .
TRANSPORTATION, 2009, 36 (05) :469-482
[8]   Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment [J].
Barber, BM ;
Odean, T .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2001, 116 (01) :261-292
[9]   RISK PREMIUMS FOR DECISION REGRET [J].
BELL, DE .
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 1983, 29 (10) :1156-1166
[10]  
Bitran E, 2013, Working Paper 317