Sample Selection Based on Active Learning for Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction

被引:6
作者
Yang, Jian [1 ]
Zhao, Xin [2 ]
Wei, Haikun [2 ]
Zhang, Kanjian [2 ]
机构
[1] State Grid Corp China, North China Branch, Beijing 100053, Peoples R China
[2] Southeast Univ, Key Lab Measurement & Control CSE, Minist Educ, Sch Automat, Nanjing 210096, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
short-term wind speed prediction; active learning; support vector regression; artificial neural network; SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION; MODEL;
D O I
10.3390/en12030337
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Wind speed prediction is the key to wind power prediction, which is very important to guarantee the security and stability of the power system. Due to dramatic changes in wind speed, it needs high-frequency sampling to describe the wind. A large number of samples are generated and affect modeling time and accuracy. Therefore, two novel active learning methods with sample selection are proposed for short-term wind speed prediction. The main objective of active learning is to minimize the number of training samples and ensure the prediction accuracy. In order to verify the validity of the proposed methods, the results of support vector regression (SVR) and artificial neural network (ANN) models with different training sets are compared. The experimental data are from a wind farm in Jiangsu Province. The simulation results show that the two novel active learning methods can effectively select typical samples. While reducing the number of training samples, the prediction performance remains almost the same or slightly improved.
引用
收藏
页数:12
相关论文
共 28 条
[1]   Two Machine Learning Approaches for Short-Term Wind Speed Time-Series Prediction [J].
Ak, Ronay ;
Fink, Olga ;
Zio, Enrico .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NEURAL NETWORKS AND LEARNING SYSTEMS, 2016, 27 (08) :1734-1747
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1996, COMPUTER SCI
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2018, ENERGIES, DOI [DOI 10.3390/en11071752, DOI 10.3390/EN11071752]
[4]   A hybrid wind power forecasting model based on data mining and wavelets analysis [J].
Azimi, R. ;
Ghofrani, M. ;
Ghayekhloo, M. .
ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, 2016, 127 :208-225
[5]   A review of wind speed probability distributions used in wind energy analysis Case studies in the Canary Islands [J].
Carta, J. A. ;
Ramirez, P. ;
Velazquez, S. .
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2009, 13 (05) :933-955
[6]   Short-term electrical load forecasting using the Support Vector Regression (SVR) model to calculate the demand response baseline for office buildings [J].
Chen, Yongbao ;
Xu, Peng ;
Chu, Yiyi ;
Li, Weilin ;
Wu, Yuntao ;
Ni, Lizhou ;
Bao, Yi ;
Wang, Kun .
APPLIED ENERGY, 2017, 195 :659-670
[7]   Modeling and forecasting of electricity spot-prices: Computational intelligence vs classical econometrics [J].
Cincotti, Silvano ;
Gallo, Giulia ;
Ponta, Linda ;
Raberto, Marco .
AI COMMUNICATIONS, 2014, 27 (03) :301-314
[8]   IMPROVING GENERALIZATION WITH ACTIVE LEARNING [J].
COHN, D ;
ATLAS, L ;
LADNER, R .
MACHINE LEARNING, 1994, 15 (02) :201-221
[9]   User-Aware Electricity Price Optimization for the Competitive Market [J].
De Filippo, Allegra ;
Lombardi, Michele ;
Milano, Michela .
ENERGIES, 2017, 10 (09)
[10]   Comparison Between Wind Power Prediction Models Based on Wavelet Decomposition with Least-Squares Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) [J].
De Giorgi, Maria Grazia ;
Campilongo, Stefano ;
Ficarella, Antonio ;
Congedo, Paolo Maria .
ENERGIES, 2014, 7 (08) :5251-5272