Saving China's Stock Market?

被引:46
作者
Huang, Yi [1 ,2 ]
Miao, Jianjun [3 ,4 ,5 ]
Wang, Pengfei [6 ]
机构
[1] Grad Inst, Chemin Eugene Rigot 2, CH-1202 Geneva, Switzerland
[2] CEPR, Washington, DC USA
[3] Boston Univ, Dept Econ, 270 Bay State Rd, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[4] Southwestern Univ Finance & Econ, ICFS, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
[5] Cent Univ Finance & Econ, CEMA, Beijing, Peoples R China
[6] Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Econ, Clear Water Bay, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
关键词
BUBBLES; DEFAULT; RISK;
D O I
10.1057/s41308-019-00079-z
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We estimate the value creation for the stocks purchased by the Chinese government between the period starting with the market crash in mid-June of 2015 and the market recovery in September. We find that the government intervention increased the value of the rescued non-financial firms by RMB 206 billion after netting out the average purchase cost, which is about 1% of the Chinese GDP in 2014. The short-term value creation came from the increased stock demand, the reduced default probabilities, and the increased liquidity. The intervention may come at a long-run cost of creating moral hazard, preventing price discovery, creating more uncertainty, and damaging government credibility.
引用
收藏
页码:349 / 394
页数:46
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