Self-exciting jump processes with applications to energy markets

被引:6
作者
Eyjolfsson, Heidar [1 ]
Tjostheim, Dag [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Iceland, Inst Sci, Dunhaga 5, IS-107 Reykjavik, Iceland
[2] Univ Bergen, Dept Math, Postbox 7803, N-5020 Bergen, Norway
关键词
Self-exciting processes; Jump processes; Markov processes; Energy markets; POINT-PROCESSES; HAWKES PROCESSES; MARKOVIAN PROCESSES; ELECTRICITY PRICES; LIMIT-THEOREMS; REPRESENTATION; STABILITY; CRITERIA; SPECTRA; CHAINS;
D O I
10.1007/s10463-016-0591-8
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
In this paper, we discuss a class of mean-reverting, and self-exciting continuous-time jump processes. We give a short overview, with references, of the development of such processes, discuss maximum likelihood estimation, and put them into context with processes that have been proposed recently. More specifically, we introduce a class of SDE-governed intensity processes with varying jump intensity. We study Markovian aspects of this process, and analyse its stability properties. Finally, we consider parameter estimation of our model class with daily quotes of UK electricity prices over a specific period.
引用
收藏
页码:373 / 393
页数:21
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