When prophecy fails

被引：8

作者：

Baggaley, Jon ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Athabasca Univ, Ctr Distance Educ, Athabasca, AB, Canada

来源：

DISTANCE EDUCATION | 2013年 / 34卷 / 01期

关键词：

emerging media; New Media Consortium; Horizon Project; One Laptop Per Child; educational planning; futurology;

D O I：

10.1080/01587919.2013.770426

中图分类号：

G40 [教育学];

学科分类号：

040101 ; 120403 ;

摘要：

Inaccurate predictions about educational technology are discussed, and the tendency for them to go unchallenged. Their global generalizability is questionable when the expertise underlying them is restricted to local contexts or is unknown. The limitations of futuristic studies need to be stressed to prevent their conclusions from being applied out of context. Problems arise when studies inaccurately claiming to represent developing-world needs and conditions are used for educational planning in those nations. The article analyzes the predictions made by the annual Horizon Reports and the One Laptop Per Child project. It suggests that these projects are currently responding to criticism in a manner similar to that described in the classic study When Prophecy Fails.

引用

页码：119 / 128

页数：10