Prevalence and Associated Risk Factors of Mortality Among COVID-19 Patients: A Meta-Analysis

被引:184
作者
Noor, Farha Musharrat [1 ]
Islam, Md. Momin [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Dhaka, MSc Dept Stat, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh
关键词
COVID-19; Comorbidity; Mortality; Meta-analysis; Risk factors; CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 2019; CLINICAL CHARACTERISTICS; RESPIRATORY SYNDROME; PROGNOSTIC-FACTORS; OUTCOMES; EPIDEMIOLOGY; PREDICTORS;
D O I
10.1007/s10900-020-00920-x
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Objectives The main aim of this study was to find the prevalence of mortality among hospitalized COVID-19 infected patients and associated risk factors for death. Methods Three electronic databases including PubMed, Science Direct and Google Scholar were searched to identify relevant cohort studies of COVID-19 disease from January 1, 2020, to August 11, 2020. A random-effects model was used to calculate pooled prevalence rate (PR), risk ratio (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for both effect measures. Cochrane chi-square test statistic Q,I-2, and tau(2) tests were used to measure the presence of heterogeneity. Publication bias and sensitivity of the included studies were also tested. Results In this meta-analysis, a total of 58 studies with 122,191 patients were analyzed. The pooled prevalence rate of mortality among the hospitalized COVID-19 patients was 18.88%, 95% CI (16.46-21.30), p < 0.001. Highest mortality was found in Europe [PR 26.85%, 95% CI (19.41-34.29), p < 0.001] followed by North America [PR 21.47%, 95% CI (16.27-26.68), p < 0.001] and Asia [PR 14.83%, 95% CI (12.46- 17.21), p < 0.001]. An significant association were found between mortality among COVID-19 infected patients and older age (> 65 years vs. < 65 years) [RR 3.59, 95% CI (1.87-6.90), p < 0.001], gender (male vs. female) [RR 1.63, 95% CI (1.43-1.87), p < 0.001], ICU admitted patients [RR 3.72, 95% CI (2.70-5.13), p < 0.001], obesity [RR 2.18, 95% CI (1.10-4.34), p < 0.05], hypertension [RR 2.08,95% CI (1.79-2.43) p < 0.001], diabetes [RR 1.87, 95% CI (1.23-2.84), p < 0.001], cardiovascular disease [RR 2.51, 95% CI (1.20-5.26), p < 0.05], and cancer [RR 2.31, 95% CI (1.80-2.97), p < 0.001]. In addition, significant association for high risk of mortality were also found for cerebrovascular disease, COPD, coronary heart disease, chronic renal disease, chronic liver disease, chronic lung disease and chronic kidney disease. Conclusion This meta-analysis revealed that the mortality rate among COVID-19 patients was highest in the European region and older age, gender, ICU patients, patients with comorbidity had a high risk for case fatality. Those findings would help the health care providers to reduce the mortality rate and combat this pandemic to save lives using limited resources.
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收藏
页码:1270 / 1282
页数:13
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