ASSESSING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF STRATOSPHERIC DYNAMICS AND VARIABILITY ON THE EARTH SYSTEM

被引：143

作者：

Gerber, Edwin P. ^{[1
]}

Butler, Amy ^{[2
]}

Calvo, Natalia ^{[3
,4
]}

Charlton-Perez, Andrew ^{[5
]}

Giorgetta, Marco ^{[6
]}

Manzini, Elisa ^{[6
]}

Perlwitz, Judith ^{[7
,8
]}

Polvani, Lorenzo M. ^{[9
,10
]}

Sassi, Fabrizio ^{[11
]}

Scaife, Adam A. ^{[12
]}

Shaw, Tiffany A. ^{[9
,13
]}

Son, Seok-Woo ^{[14
]}

Watanabe, Shingo ^{[15
]}

机构：

[1] NYU, Courant Inst Math Sci, Ctr Atmosphere Ocean Sci, New York, NY 10012 USA

[2] NOAA NWS NCEP, Climate Predict Ctr, Camp Springs, MD USA

[3] Univ Complutense Madrid, Dept Fis Tierra 2, Madrid, Spain

[4] NCAR, Div Atmospher Chem, Boulder, CO USA

[5] Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England

[6] Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Hamburg, Germany

[7] Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[8] NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Div Phys Sci, Boulder, CO USA

[9] Columbia Univ, Dept Appl Phys & Appl Math, New York, NY USA

[10] Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, New York, NY USA

[11] USN, Div Space Sci, Res Lab, Washington, DC USA

[12] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England

[13] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, New York, NY USA

[14] McGill Univ, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Montreal, PQ, Canada

[15] Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Res Inst Global Change, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan

来源：

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | 2012年 / 93卷 / 06期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

RELATIVELY SIMPLE AGCM; POLAR OZONE DEPLETION; TROPOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; SURFACE WEATHER; SIMPLIFIED GCM; SOLAR SIGNAL; CLIMATE; SENSITIVITY; SCALE; QBO;

D O I：

10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

The Modelling the Dynamics and Variability of the Stratosphere-Troposphere System (DynVar) activity of the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP) Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate (SPARC) project is a multidisciplinary research forum focused on the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability. The stratosphere plays an important role in determining the climate response to volcanic and solar forcing. An early numerical study by Boville and Baumhefner (1990) explored the impact of the stratosphere on tropospheric predictability, finding that tropospheric error growth rates increased when the stratosphere of their model was degraded. In a complementary study, Jung and Barkmeijer (2006) find that forcing perturbations applied only in the stratosphere can impact the troposphere in just a few days, demonstrating the potential for model error in the stratosphere to corrupt a surface forecast. A number of NWP centers now include a better representation of the stratosphere to improve short-range forecasts. 119.

引用

页码：845 / 859

页数：15

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