Decomposition of time series models in state-space form

被引:22
|
作者
Godolphin, E [1 ]
Triantafyllopoulos, K
机构
[1] Univ London Royal Holloway & Bedford New Coll, Dept Math, Egham TW20 0EX, Surrey, England
[2] Univ Newcastle Upon Tyne, Sch Math & Stat, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 7RU, Tyne & Wear, England
关键词
decompositions of time series; dynamic models; generalized linear models Bayesian forecasting; state-space models; Kalman filtering;
D O I
10.1016/j.csda.2004.12.012
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
A methodology is proposed for decompositions of a very wide class of time series, including normal and non-normal time series, which are represented in state-space form. In particular the linked signals generated from dynamic generalized linear models are decomposed into a suitable sum of noise-free dynamic linear models. A number of relevant general results are given and two important cases, consisting of normally distributed data and binomially distributed data, are examined in detail. The methods are illustrated by considering examples involving both linear trend and seasonal component time series. Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
收藏
页码:2232 / 2246
页数:15
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Fast estimation methods for time-series models in state-space form
    Garcia-Hiernaux, Alfredo
    Casals, Jose
    Jerez, Miguel
    JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL COMPUTATION AND SIMULATION, 2009, 79 (02) : 121 - 134
  • [2] Estimation for a class of generalized state-space time series models
    Fukasawa, T
    Basawa, IV
    STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS, 2002, 60 (04) : 459 - 473
  • [3] State-space models for count time series with excess zeros
    Yang, Ming
    Cavanaugh, Joseph E.
    Zamba, Gideon K. D.
    STATISTICAL MODELLING, 2015, 15 (01) : 70 - 90
  • [4] Estimation of infrastructure performance models using state-space specifications of time series models
    Chu, Chih-Yuan
    Durango-Cohen, Pablo L.
    TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART C-EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES, 2007, 15 (01) : 17 - 32
  • [5] Time Series Anomaly Detection with Reconstruction-Based State-Space Models
    Wang, Fan
    Wang, Keli
    Yao, Boyu
    ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND MACHINE LEARNING, ICANN 2023, PT III, 2023, 14256 : 74 - 86
  • [6] Dynamic state-space models
    Guo, WS
    JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2003, 24 (02) : 149 - 158
  • [7] On the Performance of Legendre State-Space Models in Short-Term Time Series Forecasting
    Zhang, Elise
    Wu, Di
    Boulet, Benoit
    2023 IEEE CANADIAN CONFERENCE ON ELECTRICAL AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING, CCECE, 2023,
  • [8] Time delay estimation in discrete-time state-space models
    Waschburger, Ronaldo
    Harrop Galvao, Roberto Kawakami
    SIGNAL PROCESSING, 2013, 93 (04) : 904 - 912
  • [9] State Estimation for a Class of Piecewise Affine State-Space Models
    Rui, Rafael
    Ardeshiri, Tohid
    Nurminen, Henri
    Bazanella, Alexandre
    Gustafsson, Fredrik
    IEEE SIGNAL PROCESSING LETTERS, 2017, 24 (01) : 61 - 65
  • [10] Nonparametric deconvolution of hormone time-series: A state-space approach
    De Nicolao, G
    Trecate, GF
    Franzosi, M
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 1998 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CONTROL APPLICATIONS, VOLS 1 AND 2, 1996, : 346 - 350