The likelihood and potential impact of future change in the large-scale climate-earth system on ecosystem services

被引:21
作者
Gosling, Simon N. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Nottingham, Sch Geog, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England
关键词
Ecosystem services; Climate change; Impact; Review; Sea level rise; Ocean acidification; Amazonia dieback; Water security; Monsoon; THC and AMOC collapse; SEA-LEVEL RISE; MERIDIONAL OVERTURNING CIRCULATION; ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON; THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION; ENVIRONMENTAL-CHANGE; MODEL SIMULATIONS; ATMOSPHERIC CO2; CARBON STORAGE; POLAR BEARS; CORAL-REEFS;
D O I
10.1016/j.envsci.2012.03.011
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This article reviews the level of current scientific understanding regarding the impact of future change in the large-scale climate-earth system on ecosystem services. Impacts from sea level rise, ocean acidification, increases in ocean temperature, potential collapse of the thermohaline circulation; failure of the South Asia monsoon; the melting of sea ice, the Greenland Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet; changes in water availability; and Amazonia forest dieback, are considered. The review highlights that while a number of uncertainties remain in understanding, there is evidence to suggest that climate change may have already affected some ecosystem services. Furthermore, there is considerable evidence to show that future climate change could have impacts on biodiversity, as well as secondary impacts on issues important to human society, including; habitability; land productivity and food security; water security; and potential economic impacts. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:S15 / S31
页数:17
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