The effect of return jumps on herd behavior

被引:9
作者
Wanidwaranan, Phasin [1 ]
Padungsaksawasdi, Chaiyuth [1 ]
机构
[1] Thammasat Univ, Thammasat Business Sch, Dept Finance, Bangkok 10200, Thailand
关键词
Herd behavior; Return jump; Behavioral finance; MARKET; VOLATILITY; PRICES; EQUITY; AUTOCORRELATION; CHINESE; MODELS; NEWS; FADS; ASK;
D O I
10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100375
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Return jumps increase in frequency and are considered to reflect the arrival of non-trivial information. We thus question the impact of return jumps on herd behavior in global equity markets. New herding detection models that incorporate return jumps overcome multicollinearity and sample-splitting problems found in prior studies. While the traditional model does not detect herd behavior in most cases, our augmented model incorporating return jumps detects more cases of herd behavior. We find the strongest effect on jump and negative return dates, supporting existing evidence of asymmetric herd behavior. In general, incorporating return jump dummy variables underlines the existence of herd behavior and an information cascade-argument helps explain this phenomenon well. Our results are robust to altering the identification of return jumps and the herd behavior model. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:11
相关论文
共 54 条
[1]   Modeling and forecasting realized volatility [J].
Andersen, TG ;
Bollerslev, T ;
Diebold, FX ;
Labys, P .
ECONOMETRICA, 2003, 71 (02) :579-625
[2]   No-arbitrage semi-martingale restrictions for continuous-time volatility models subject to leverage effects, jumps and i.i.d. noise: Theory and testable distributional implications [J].
Andersen, Torben G. ;
Bollerslev, Tim ;
Dobrev, Dobrislav .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2007, 138 (01) :125-180
[3]   A reduced form framework for modeling volatility of speculative prices based on realized variation measures [J].
Andersen, Torben G. ;
Bollerslev, Tim ;
Huang, Xin .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2011, 160 (01) :176-189
[4]   CONTINUOUS-TIME MODELS, REALIZED VOLATILITIES, AND TESTABLE DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPLICATIONS FOR DAILY STOCK RETURNS [J].
Andersen, Torben G. ;
Bollerslev, Tim ;
Frederiksen, Per ;
Nielsen, Morten Orregaard .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, 2010, 25 (02) :233-261
[5]   New and improved techniques for microemulsifying modified seed oils and pesticides [J].
Anderson, TH ;
Abribat, B ;
Barker, P .
PESTICIDE FORMULATIONS AND APPLICATION SYSTEMS: 23RD VOLUME, 2003, 1449 :3-14
[6]  
[Anonymous], 2005, WORKSH INF HERD BEH
[7]   PRICE REVERSALS, BID-ASK SPREADS, AND MARKET-EFFICIENCY [J].
ATKINS, AB ;
DYL, EA .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS, 1990, 25 (04) :535-547
[8]   A SIMPLE-MODEL OF HERD BEHAVIOR [J].
BANERJEE, AV .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1992, 107 (03) :797-817
[9]   Estimating quadratic variation using realized variance [J].
Barndorff-Nielsen, OE ;
Shephard, N .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, 2002, 17 (05) :457-477
[10]  
BarndorffNielsen O.E., 2004, Journal of Financial Econometrics, V2, P1, DOI DOI 10.1093/JJFINEC/NBH001