How well does a small structural model with sticky prices and wages fit postwar US data?

被引:3
作者
Matheron, Julien
Poilly, Celine
机构
[1] Banque de France, DGEI-DIR, Service de Recherche en économie et finance
[2] Université Catholique de Louvain, IRES
关键词
Sticky prices; Sticky wages; Strategic complementarities; Watson's test; BUSINESS-CYCLE; MONETARY-POLICY; TECHNOLOGY SHOCKS; STAGGERED WAGE; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1016/j.econmod.2008.07.002
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this paper, we ask whether a small structural model with sticky prices and wages, embedding various modelling devices designed to increase the degree of strategic complementarity between price-setters, can fit postwar U.S. data. To answer this question, we resort to a two-step empirical evaluation of our model. In a first step, we estimate the model by minimizing the distance between theoretical autocovariances of key macroeconomic variables and their VAR-based empirical counterparts. In a second step, we resort to Watson's [Watson, M.W., 1993. Measures of fit for calibrated models. Journal of Political Economy 101, 1011-1041.] procedure [Measures of fit for calibrated models. journal of Political Economy 101 (6), 1011.1041] to quantify the model's goodness-of-fit. Our main result is that the combination of sticky prices and sticky wages is central in order to obtain a good empirical fit. Our analysis also reveals that a model with only sticky wages does not perform well according to Watson's criterion [Watson, M.W., 1993. Measures of fit for calibrated models. journal of Political Economy 101, 1011-1041.]. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页码:266 / 284
页数:19
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