Estimating the Short-Run Poverty Impacts of the 2010-11 Surge in Food Prices

被引:80
作者
Ivanic, Maros [1 ]
Martin, Will [1 ]
Zaman, Hassan [2 ]
机构
[1] World Bank, Washington, DC 20433 USA
[2] Bangladesh Bank, Dhaka, Bangladesh
关键词
food prices; poverty; global; welfare; trade; sensitivity; RICE PRICES;
D O I
10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.03.024
中图分类号
F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
Global food prices increased sharply between June and December 2010. This paper assesses the impact of price changes for 38 agricultural commodities on poverty using detailed data on patterns of production and consumption in 28 countries. We find considerable heterogeneity in the impacts, but estimate that poverty rose by 44 million people, with 68 million people falling into poverty and 24 million people raised out of poverty at the extreme poverty line of $1.25 per day. This corresponds to an average poverty increase of 1.1% points in low income countries and 0.7% points in middle income countries. (C) 2012 World Bank. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:2302 / 2317
页数:16
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