Modeling to support reliability enhancement during product development with applications in the UK aerospace industry

被引:20
作者
Walls, L [1 ]
Quigley, J
Marshall, J
机构
[1] Univ Strathclyde, Dept Management Sci, Glasgow G1 1QE, Lanark, Scotland
[2] Univ Warwick, Warwick Mfg Grp, Coventry CV4 7AL, W Midlands, England
关键词
Bayesian model; expert judgment; product development process; reliability enhancement; reliability in design;
D O I
10.1109/TEM.2006.872342
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Reliability improvement is the conceptual norm but has not been achieved by all sectors of industry. The U.K. aerospace industry is one that has aspired to make the transition from a culture of reliability demonstration to enhancement. This paper presents action research that examines the challenges facing this industry. A statistical model is developed to help measure the likely impact of failure modes on operational performance, hence providing a basis for managing the enhancement process. The model, which has general applicability to other product development processes, is stated and justified. The industrial interventions are described and an analysis of findings is presented. The proposed model is better than traditional approaches because it provides a systematic process to capture and integrate data from different sources to estimate reliability by directly measuring the engineering improvement achieved through product design and development. The estimates can be used to inform a traceable coherent argument about the level and growth in reliability to management and the customer as well as to provide insight into the impact of alternative engineering modifications to the design team. The modeling process has contributed to the partial transition to reliability enhancement of a consortium of companies who have changed their standard operating procedures to reflect the lessons learned from the research intervention. The insights gained contribute to an understanding of how the U.K. aerospace industry is changing its management of reliability enhancement in design.
引用
收藏
页码:263 / 274
页数:12
相关论文
共 45 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1994, PRACTICAL METHODS RE
[2]  
BALES R, 2002, CHANGING WORLD AEROS, V4, P4
[3]   The identifiability problem for repairable systems subject to competing risks [J].
Bedford, T ;
Lindqvist, BH .
ADVANCES IN APPLIED PROBABILITY, 2004, 36 (03) :774-790
[4]   BAYESIAN FORMULATION OF THE BEST OF LIQUID AND SOLID RELIABILITY METHODOLOGY [J].
BLISCHKE, WR .
JOURNAL OF SPACECRAFT AND ROCKETS, 1994, 31 (02) :297-303
[5]  
Blischke WR, 2000, WILEY SER PROB STAT
[6]  
BOWLES J, 2003, P RAMS2003
[7]  
CLAUSING D, 1994, TOTAL QUALITY DEV ST
[8]  
CONDRA LW, 1993, RELIABILITY IMPROVEM
[9]  
Cooke R., 1991, EXPERTS UNCERTAINTY
[10]  
Davis TP, 2003, GLOBAL VEHICLE RELIABILITY, P43