Simulation of polar ozone depletion: An update

被引:133
作者
Solomon, Susan [1 ]
Kinnison, Doug [2 ]
Bandoro, Justin [1 ]
Garcia, Rolando [2 ]
机构
[1] MIT, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
[2] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Div Atmospher Chem, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
ozone; stratosphere; NITRIC-ACID TRIHYDRATE; STRATOSPHERIC CLOUDS; CHLORINE ACTIVATION; MODEL; AEROSOL; UNCERTAINTIES; PARTICLES; HCL; ANTARCTICA; REACTIVITY;
D O I
10.1002/2015JD023365
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
We evaluate polar ozone depletion chemistry using the specified dynamics version of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model for the year 2011. We find that total ozone depletion in both hemispheres is dependent on cold temperatures (below 192 K) and associated heterogeneous chemistry on polar stratospheric cloud particles. Reactions limited to warmer temperatures above 192 K, or on binary liquid aerosols, yield little modeled polar ozone depletion in either hemisphere. An imposed factor of three enhancement in stratospheric sulfate increases ozone loss by up to 20 Dobson unit (DU) in the Antarctic and 15 DU in the Arctic in this model. Such enhanced sulfate loads are similar to those observed following recent relatively small volcanic eruptions since 2005 and imply impacts on the search for polar ozone recovery. Ozone losses are strongly sensitive to temperature, with a test case cooler by 2 K producing as much as 30 DU additional ozone loss in the Antarctic and 40 DU in the Arctic. A new finding of this paper is the use of the temporal behavior and variability of ClONO2 and HCl as indicators of the efficacy of heterogeneous chemistry. Transport of ClONO2 from the southern subpolar regions near 55-65 degrees S to higher latitudes near 65-75 degrees S provides a flux of NOx from more sunlit latitudes to the edge of the vortex and is important for ozone loss in this model. Comparisons between modeled and observed total column and profile ozone perturbations, ClONO2 abundances, and the rate of change of HCl bolster confidence in these conclusions.
引用
收藏
页码:7958 / 7974
页数:17
相关论文
共 59 条
[1]   Assessing lidar-based classification schemes for polar stratospheric clouds based on 16 years of measurements at Esrange, Sweden [J].
Achtert, P. ;
Tesche, M. .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2014, 119 (03) :1386-1405
[2]   Modeling the stratospheric warming following the Mt. Pinatubo eruption: uncertainties in aerosol extinctions [J].
Arfeuille, F. ;
Luo, B. P. ;
Heckendorn, P. ;
Weisenstein, D. ;
Sheng, J. X. ;
Rozanov, E. ;
Schraner, M. ;
Broennimann, S. ;
Thomason, L. W. ;
Peter, T. .
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2013, 13 (22) :11221-11234
[3]   Extreme ozone depletion in the 2010-2011 Arctic winter stratosphere as observed by MIPAS/ENVISAT using a 2-D tomographic approach [J].
Arnone, E. ;
Castelli, E. ;
Papandrea, E. ;
Carlotti, M. ;
Dinelli, B. M. .
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2012, 12 (19) :9149-9165
[4]   Influences of the Antarctic Ozone Hole on Southern Hemispheric Summer Climate Change [J].
Bandoro, Justin ;
Solomon, Susan ;
Donohoe, Aaron ;
Thompson, David W. J. ;
Santer, Benjamin D. .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2014, 27 (16) :6245-6264
[5]   Nonequilibrium coexistence of solid and liquid particles in Arctic stratospheric clouds [J].
Biele, J ;
Tsias, A ;
Luo, BP ;
Carslaw, KS ;
Neuber, R ;
Beyerle, G ;
Peter, T .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2001, 106 (D19) :22991-23007
[6]   Evaluation of Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model simulations of ozone during Arctic winter 2004-2005 [J].
Brakebusch, M. ;
Randall, C. E. ;
Kinnison, D. E. ;
Tilmes, S. ;
Santee, M. L. ;
Manney, G. L. .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2013, 118 (06) :2673-2688
[7]   Ozone depletion in the late winter lower Arctic stratosphere: Observations and model results [J].
Bregman, A ;
vandenBroek, M ;
Carslaw, KS ;
Muller, R ;
Peter, T ;
Scheele, MP ;
Lelieveld, J .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 1997, 102 (D9) :10815-10828
[8]   Uncertainties in reactive uptake coefficients for solid stratospheric particles .2. Effect on ozone depletion [J].
Carslaw, KS ;
Peter, T ;
Muller, R .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 1997, 24 (14) :1747-1750
[9]   STRATOSPHERIC AEROSOL GROWTH AND HNO3 GAS-PHASE DEPLETION FROM COUPLED HNO3 AND WATER-UPTAKE BY LIQUID PARTICLES [J].
CARSLAW, KS ;
LUO, BP ;
CLEGG, SL ;
PETER, T ;
BRIMBLECOMBE, P ;
CRUTZEN, PJ .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 1994, 21 (23) :2479-2482
[10]   A 3D TRANSPORT MODEL STUDY OF CHLORINE ACTIVATION DURING EASOE [J].
CHIPPERFIELD, MP ;
CARIOLLE, D ;
SIMON, P .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 1994, 21 (13) :1467-1470