Modeling the glacial-interglacial cycles in response to astronomical and CO2 forcings

被引:0
作者
Loutre, Marie-France [1 ]
Berger, Andre [1 ]
机构
[1] Catholic Univ Louvain, Inst Astron & Geophys Georges Lemaitre 2, BE-1348 Louvain, Belgium
来源
MILUTIN MILANKOVITCH ANNIVERSARY SYMPOSIUM: PALEOCLIMATE AND THE EARTH CLIMATE SYSTEM | 2005年 / 110卷
关键词
climate modelling; EMIC; glacial-inerglacial cycle; Pliocene and Pleistocene simulated climate;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Several models were designed and many modeling experiments were performed to validate the hypothesis that long-term climate change is driven by change in the solar energy received at the top of the atmosphere and that the astronomical parameters describing the orbit and inclination of the Earth are a pacemaker of the climate. Earth system model of intermediate complexity (EMICs) were used to simulate long-term variations of the climate. They are forced by the time variation in the distribution of the insolation and by scenario of atmospheric CO2 concentration. Here we will discuss the ability of several of them to simulate successfully the entrance into glaciation around 2.75 Myr BP, the late Pliocene-early Pleistocene 41-kyr cycle. the emergence of the 100-kyr cycle around 900 kyr BP and the glacial-interglacial cycles of the middle and late Pleistocene. We will also present some projections for the future climate.
引用
收藏
页码:173 / 183
页数:11
相关论文
共 57 条
[1]   Eight glacial cycles from an Antarctic ice core [J].
Augustin, L ;
Barbante, C ;
Barnes, PRF ;
Barnola, JM ;
Bigler, M ;
Castellano, E ;
Cattani, O ;
Chappellaz, J ;
DahlJensen, D ;
Delmonte, B ;
Dreyfus, G ;
Durand, G ;
Falourd, S ;
Fischer, H ;
Flückiger, J ;
Hansson, ME ;
Huybrechts, P ;
Jugie, R ;
Johnsen, SJ ;
Jouzel, J ;
Kaufmann, P ;
Kipfstuhl, J ;
Lambert, F ;
Lipenkov, VY ;
Littot, GVC ;
Longinelli, A ;
Lorrain, R ;
Maggi, V ;
Masson-Delmotte, V ;
Miller, H ;
Mulvaney, R ;
Oerlemans, J ;
Oerter, H ;
Orombelli, G ;
Parrenin, F ;
Peel, DA ;
Petit, JR ;
Raynaud, D ;
Ritz, C ;
Ruth, U ;
Schwander, J ;
Siegenthaler, U ;
Souchez, R ;
Stauffer, B ;
Steffensen, JP ;
Stenni, B ;
Stocker, TF ;
Tabacco, IE ;
Udisti, R ;
van de Wal, RSW .
NATURE, 2004, 429 (6992) :623-628
[2]   Sensitivity of the LLN climate model to the astronomical and CO2 forcings over the last 200 ky [J].
Berger, A ;
Loutre, MF ;
Gallee, H .
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 1998, 14 (09) :615-629
[3]   An exceptionally long interglacial ahead? [J].
Berger, A ;
Loutre, MF .
SCIENCE, 2002, 297 (5585) :1287-1288
[4]  
Berger A, 1996, CR ACAD SCI II A, V323, P1
[5]   PHYSICAL INTERACTIONS WITHIN A COUPLED CLIMATE MODEL OVER THE LAST GLACIAL INTERGLACIAL CYCLE [J].
BERGER, A ;
FICHEFET, T ;
GALLEE, H ;
MARSIAT, I ;
TRICOT, C ;
VANYPERSELE, JP .
TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF EDINBURGH-EARTH SCIENCES, 1990, 81 :357-369
[6]  
Berger A., 2003, GEOPHYS MONOGR SER, V137, P17, DOI DOI 10.1029/137GM02)
[7]  
BERGER A, 1991, FUTURE CLIMATE CHANG, P148
[8]  
BERGER A, 1994, NATO ASI SER, V22, P411
[9]  
BERGER A, 1989, OUR CHANGING ATMOSPH, P353
[10]   LONG-TERM VARIATIONS OF CALORIC INSOLATION RESULTING FROM EARTHS ORBITAL ELEMENTS [J].
BERGER, AL .
QUATERNARY RESEARCH, 1978, 9 (02) :139-167