Model-based analysis of the future strategies for the MENA energy system

被引:18
作者
Fragkos, Panagiotis [1 ]
Kouvaritakis, Nikos [1 ]
Capros, Pantelis [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Tech Univ Athens, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, 9 Iroon Politech St,Zografou Campus, GR-15773 Athens, Greece
关键词
Energy strategies; Energy modelling; Energy policy;
D O I
10.1016/j.esr.2012.12.009
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
This paper introduces a large-scale energy demand and supply model that is used to quantify alternative energy system strategies for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region to 2030. MENA contains major hydrocarbon producers and a vast and currently untapped potential for renewable power generation. It examines mutual benefits that MENA and the EU could derive by cooperating in the field of energy and climate policies. It also investigates a strategy emphasising decentralised RES deployment together with accelerated market reform leading to a reduction in power generation costs and a large increase of exportable hydrocarbon surpluses. Recognising the risks that characterise the region a case of policy failure is also considered. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:59 / 70
页数:12
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