Energy transitions research: Insights and cautionary tales

被引：295
作者：
Grubler, Arnulf [1 ,2 ]
机构：
[1] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
[2] Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
来源：
ENERGY POLICY | 2012年 / 50卷
关键词：
Energy transitions; Energy history; Technology policy; TECHNOLOGICAL-CHANGE; PERSPECTIVE;
D O I：
10.1016/j.enpol.2012.02.070
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
This short essay first reviews the pioneers of energy transition research both in terms of data as well as theories. Three major insights that have emerged from this nascent research fields are summarized highlighting the importance of energy end-use and services, the lengthy process of transitions, as well as the patterns that characterize successful scale up of technologies and industries that drive historical energy transitions. The essay concludes with cautionary notes also derived from historical experience. In order to trigger a next energy transition policies and innovation efforts need to be persistent and continuous, aligned, as well as balanced. It is argued that current policy frameworks in place invariably do not meet these criteria and need to change in order to successfully trigger a next energy transition towards sustainability. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：8 / 16
页数：9
相关论文
共 69 条
[21]  
[Anonymous], 2010, RUHR EC PAPERS
[22]  
[Anonymous], 2007, SUMMARY POLICYMAKERS
[23]  
[Anonymous], AM NEEDS RESOURCES N
[24]  
[Anonymous], 1974, Energy Crises in Perspective
[25]  
[Anonymous], 1988, TECHNICAL CHANGE EC
[26]   COMPETING TECHNOLOGIES, INCREASING RETURNS, AND LOCK-IN BY HISTORICAL EVENTS [J].
ARTHUR, WB .
ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 1989, 99 (394) :116-131
[27]  
Ayres R.U., 2009, The economic growth engine: how energy and work drive material prosperity
[28]   Exergy, power and work in the US economy, 1900-1998 [J].
Ayres, RU ;
Ayres, LW ;
Warr, B .
ENERGY, 2003, 28 (03) :219-273
[29]   Three laws of energy transitions [J].
Bashmakov, Igor .
ENERGY POLICY, 2007, 35 (07) :3583-3594
[30]  
Brown H., 1956, Man's Role in Changing the Face of the Earth, P1023
1234567