Local Feature Sufficiency Exploration for Predicting Security-constrained Generation Dispatch in Multi-Area Power Systems

Deriving generation dispatch is essential for efficient and secure operation of electric power systems. This is usually achieved by solving a security-constrained optimal power flow (SCOPF) problem, which is by nature non-convex, usually nonlinear and thus computationally intensive. The state-of-the-art optimization approaches are not able to solve this problem for large-scale power systems within power system operation time window (usually 5 minutes). In this work, we developed supervised learning approaches to determine security-constrained generation dispatch within much shorter time window. More importantly, the physical constraint of only accessing to local measurements and other information in most utilities' realtime operation can not be ignored for the predictive models. The feasibility and accuracy of utilizing only local features (measurements and grid information in one area) to predict optimal local generation dispatch (dispatch of all generators in the corresponding area) in multi-area power systems has been explored. The results showed optimal local generation dispatch can be predicted with local features with high accuracy, which is comparable to the results obtained with global features.