Risk of bovine tuberculosis for cattle sold out from herds during 2005 in Ireland

A retrospective cohort study was conducted to determine the risk of bovine tuberculosis (TB) among animals sold out from herds that were free to trade animals during the year 2005 according to their bovine TB testing history during the year 2005. The present study sample comprised of 338,960 animals, of which 124,360 animals were sold out from herds that were restricted from trading at some stage during 2005 (bovine TB 'exposed') and 214,600 animals that were sold from herds which did not have their trading status withdrawn in 2005 (bovine TB 'non-exposed'). The overall risk of a diagnosis of bovine TB during the two-year period after the animals were sold out was 0.69 per cent. The odds of bovine TB were 1.91 higher for animals sold out from bovine TB 'exposed' herds compared with animals sold out from bovine TB 'non-exposed' herds (OR 95 per cent CI: 1.76 to 2.07, P<0.0001). Ten per cent of animals identified during field surveillance with bovine TB did so less than two months after being sold out in 2005, and similarly, 10 per cent of the animals classified as bovine TB positive by finding a bovine TB lesion at slaughter did so within 25 days (or less) of being sold out in 2005.